BCS Rankings: How Boise State's Loss Will Shake Up the BCS Standings

Andrew PreglerContributor IIINovember 12, 2011

BOISE, ID - NOVEMBER 12:  Kellen Moore #11 and Tyrone Crawford #40 of the Boise State Broncos leave after the loss to the TCU Horned Frogs  at Bronco Stadium on November 12, 2011 in Boise, Idaho.  (Photo by Otto Kitsinger III/Getty Images)
Otto Kitsinger III/Getty Images

It was Yogi Berra who said that it's "Deja Vu all over again." For the Boise State Broncos, this deja vu was anything but welcomed.

Instead of potentially being thrown into the BCS title race, the Broncos will fall faster than the Big East conference they are trying to revive.

Once again, foiled by a missed kick, Boise State will be out of the Top Five of the BCS with an upset loss to the unranked and really irrelevant TCU Horned Frogs.

Aside from the obvious Boise State drop, how else could the BCS be affected?

At the time of this article, Stanford and Oregon have yet to finish, but the top four would remain relatively unaffected with the upset. If Stanford wins, don't expect the top five to change with the exception of Oklahoma moving up to take Boise's vacated No. 5 spot.

Pending a Stanford win and all other teams continue to win their respective games, the Top Five would remain the same, and would include the Sooners as their rival Oklahoma State scored style points with their 66-6 win over Texas Tech.

The real intrigue lies between the No. 6 and No. 14 rankings.

If Oregon loses, they should not fall too far, as losing on the road to Stanford by a close margin (at least that is how the game looks) would be respectable, and not a deathblow within the computer's or voters' eyes.

Arkansas would move up to No. 6 for sure, but here is where things get hazy.

Clemson barely defeated a Wake Forrest enigma at home, and a move from No. 9 to No. 7 would not be reflective of their current play.

In the eyes of the voters, it would not look right to have Oregon below Clemson.

This leaves Oregon falling one spot to No. 7, but I do not think Clemson moves from No. 9 or Virginia Tech from No. 10. Houston scored huge style points with their win over Tulane, and could represent the non-BCS divisions in the BCS mix with a move to number No. 8.

With the top ten rounded out, South Carolina moves up to No. 11 with Georgia jumping Kansas State to finish No. 12 and No. 13, respectively. This is where I think Boise finally lands, behind all of these teams, at No. 14.

So to recap: If Stanford and all favored teams win, the rankings are:
1. LSU
2. OSU
5. OU
6. ARK
7. ORE
8. HOU
10. VT
11. SC
12. GEOR
13. KSU
14. BSU

If Stanford loses and all other teams win, the only difference in the standings is a swap between Stanford and Oregon.

So thanks, Boise State, for confusing us all—and Houston will be sending you the fruit basket once they get their BCS bid.

For more college football news, follow @ACPregler on Twitter.