When laying down a bet, it's easy to miss some of the "elephant on the couch" type games that are sure to bank some dough. And with so many games coming down to the wire, it's no secret that lopsided games are few and far between.
That said, here are three of Week 10's surest bets you can safely pick.
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Baltimore Ravens (Favorite) at Seattle Seahawks (Underdog) -6.5
We could say that the Seattle Seahawks are a much better home team than away, but it hasn't held up much weight thus far in 2011. However, you could also say that the Ravens aren't too good on the road, especially with their loss to Jacksonville.
But after winning in Pittsburgh, Baltimore has a renewed sense of entitlement when playing away from home, whereas Seattle was blasted by the Bengals 34-12 at home. The Ravens also have a top-five defense going against one of the NFL's worst offenses. Hence, advantage Balty.
By game's end you can make a solid argument that the Ravens won't completely annihilate the Seahawks, but they'll surely win by at least one TD. Otherwise Baltimore may look vulnerable once again.
Take the Ravens against the spread.
Green Bay Packers (Favorite) vs. Minnesota Vikings (Underdog) -13.5
When they met in Minnesota last time, Green Bay only won 33-27 over the Vikings, however, the cheese were actually down 17-13 at the break.
But, Green Bay rolled in the third quarter with 20 points and went up 33-17 going into the final quarter, then hit cruise control. This time around, though, expect the Packers to come out firing so Minny doesn't give them a scare.
The Packers still need to prove they can shut an offense down, so forcing rookie QB Christian Ponder to keep pace with Aaron Rodgers is much more feasible than trying to match Vikings RB Adrian Peterson.
The Packers stack the box, air it out and have the much better special teams play as well.
Take the Packers against the spread.
Philadelphia Eagles (Favorite) vs. Arizona Cardinals (Underdog) -14
If the Philadelphia Eagles are going to turn their 2011 campaign around, it must start with Week 10. Visiting The City of Brotherly Love are the 2-6 Arizona Cardinals, who are 0-4 on the road and just barely beat the Rams at home.
That said, it's not like the paper champions have been all that impressive either, as evidence by starting 3-5 and losing four straight games. However, the Eagles still have a threatening multidimensional offense to go with a defense that's good enough to dominate inferior teams.
Arizona has WR Larry Fitzgerald on offense and rookie CB Patrick Peterson (who's beginning to emerge) on defense, but that's really it. QB Kevin Kolb has been underachieving and won't be 100 percent if he suits up this week.
The Eagles are desperate for a win and their only shot at staying alive while building momentum and confidence quickly is to crush the Cardinals, and it will happen by more than two TDs.
Take the Eagles against the spread.
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