College Football's Week 11 Upset Alerts

Dave WalkerCorrespondent INovember 9, 2011

College Football's Week 11 Upset Alerts

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    There are just four more weeks left in the college football season, only three of which are regular season. This week has several key conference games that will determine the conference title pictures, but just one that has major national title implications.

    For the record, nobody should consider the Oregon-Stanford game as an upset. If No. 7 beats No. 4, it is not that huge of an upset. I think Oregon will stun the Cardinal in Palo Alto.

    However, there are several other off-the-radar games that could be major upsets this weekend.

    Here is a look at five of the more intriguing games to keep your eye on.

Iowa over No. 17 Michigan State

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    It's Senior Day in Iowa City as the Hawkeyes look to finish the season unbeaten at home.

    Meanwhile, Sparty is still the only divisional team with just one loss.

    So how do the Hawkeyes notch this mild upset?

    Run the ball—it's as simple as that. Marcus Coker is the best back on the field, so look for his success on the ground to set up James Vandenberg on play action.

    Michigan State has not done well on the road, going 1-2 with losses in South Bend and Lincoln.

    Iowa at home is too tough in this one. Hawkeyes win 24-17 and circle Black Friday's matchup in Lincoln to decide the Legends Division.

Florida over No. 13 South Carolina

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    Florida has no shot at the SEC East but could use a win to solidify their bowl chances.

    The Gators are 0-4 this season versus ranked teams and are coming off a too-close-for-comfort win over Vandy at home.

    South Carolina is coming off a 44-28 loss at Arkansas, a game that saw their QB Connor Shaw suffer a concussion.

    They will have no Marcus Lattimore at running back and will have to rely on their defense to carry them once again.

    So how do the Gators win?

    The Rainey and Demps show will speed the Gators past the Gamecocks. Look for Florida to get the ball to them both on the ground and in the passing game.

    The key will be to keep the game on the outside, where these two have superior speed. The Gators defense will force Shaw to have to win it by himself.

    Florida defeats their old coach and ends South Carolina's SEC East hopes with a 27-17 win in Columbia.

Texas A&M over No. 14 Kansas State

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    Kansas State started the season 7-0.

    Since then, they have lost to both Oklahoma teams and are now staring at a potential third straight loss when they face A&M this weekend.

    The Aggies are in desperate need of a win at 5-4. They are coming off of a bye week in which they were left to ponder how they let another one slip away, this time versus Missouri.

    So how do the Aggies get the upset?

    Texas A&M QB Ryan Tannehill will pick the Wildcat defense apart, much like Landry Jones and Brandon Weeden did the prior two games.

    They get a big lead early, causing the Wildcats to have to go to the pass, where they rank 112th nationally.

    Texas A&M spanks Kansas State 45-24.

Minnesota over No. 18 Wisconsin

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    On paper, the Wisconsin Badgers should beat Goldy by 3 scores, but the game is played on the field.

    The Badgers are 0-2 on the road in conference play, losing both games in the final minutes in stunning fashion.

    Minnesota stole the Floyd of Rosedale trophy two weeks ago with a one-point win over Iowa and made Michigan State sweat until the end last week.

    So how in the world do the Gophers win?

    Marqueis Gray is the key. He has the ability to make plays with his feet, he just needs to be a bit more accurate with his arm.

    The Gophers defense has been improving but still needs a lot of work. They will key in on stopping the Badgers running game, and Monte Ball and force Russell Wilson to use his arm to win the game.

    A major upset in the annual battle for Paul Bunyan's axe as the Gophers stun Wisconsin 27-24.

Miami over Florida State

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    OK, so this game is really an off-the-radar game that carries little impact on the ACC or BCS, but it is still a big one if you are a true college football fan or live in the sunshine state.

    FSU will be a slight favorite entering the home contest.

    The Seminoles have had a disappointing season at 6-3, but have won four straight against the bottom-dwellers of the ACC.

    Miami could be the best four-loss team in the nation, having lost all four by a combined 22 points.

    Miami will win this ballgame, and the reason is Lamar Miller.

    The 1,000-yard back will keep rolling against a Seminoles defense that is solid but has struggled in those games against good running teams.

    On the other side of the ball, FSU has failed to get a running game going, ranking 90th in the country on the ground.

    Miami ground-and-pounds FSU, Jacory Harris makes several big throws and the Canes spank FSU 34-20 in Tallahassee.