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When Jacksonville Has the Ball
With a rookie quarterback who has taken a step back in each of the last three games, the Jacksonville Jaguars will roll out a predictable game plan based around the tough running of Maurice Jones-Drew. I know this, you know this, the Indianapolis Colts know this. It doesn't mean they can stop it.
Jones-Drew is having a monster season, especially when considering the lack of a passing game to keep defenses out of the box.
Facing constant eight-man fronts, Jones-Drew is having his finest NFL season. He'll be leaned on heavily in this game as the Jaguars hope to set the tempo early and take pressure off the rookie quarterback.
The Colts defense matches up well against a young Jacksonville offensive line. Defensive ends Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis could enjoy big games against Blaine Gabbert and his very average offensive line.
When Indianapolis Has the Ball
As of Monday night, it seems like Curtis Painter will get the start at quarterback this weekend, even though he was pulled late in the team's Week 9 loss. Painter does give Indianapolis its best chance to win, and believe me, this is a winnable game.
Jacksonville has a very underrated front seven. The play of Paul Posluszny at linebacker has inspired this talented group into stepping up over the course of the season. The Jaguars are dangerous, and for a team with so few weapons on offense, the task should be an easy one.
Without Dallas Clark, Indianapolis will have no identity this week (which won't be a huge change). While I do think the Colts have their best chance to get a win this week, it will take a big effort from Painter and his receivers to mask their lack of talent at running back and tight end.
Prediction: Jacksonville 23, Indianapolis 10