NCAA Tournament: Who Will Go Dancing from the Pac-10?

Kyle Rekofke by Scribe Written on February 10, 2008
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That could prove difficult given that Arizona blew them out, ASU and Oregon took them to the wire, and they just got swept by the Bay Area schools.

Outside of two nice road wins at Baylor and Gonzaga, their non-conference schedule was  excessively soft.

For a team once ranked in the top five, missing the tournament is a real possibility, but ultimately they should slide in.

Odds on Dancing: 60 percent to 65 percent

 

USC 15-8 (6-5)

Remaining schedule: 

Home—UCLA, Oregon, Oregon State, Cal, Stanford

Road—Arizona, Arizona State

Despite the rocky start, the Trojans are in a good position to get into the tournament.

They have five of their last seven at home and have been playing well over the past few weeks.

If they are on the bubble they will hold a trump card over anyone they are compared to (the win at UCLA). The key games for the Trojans will likely be the visits from the Bay Area schools who swept them to begin Pac-10 play.

Odds on Dancing: 65 percent to 70 percent

 

CALIFORNIA 14-8 (5-6)

Remaining schedule:

Home—Washington State, Washington

Road—Arizona, Arizona State, Stanford, USC, UCLA

Their schedule is the polar opposite of the Trojans, as the Bears will play five of their last seven on the road.

Oregon dealt a serious blow to the Bears' hopes on Saturday in Haas Pavilion.

With the schedule against them and two losses to the team closest in the standings to them (Oregon), the Bears’ chances look bleak.

Odds on Dancing: 25 percent

 

ARIZONA STATE 15-7 (5-5)

Remaining schedule:

Home—Stanford, Cal, UCLA, USC

Road—Washington State, Washington, Oregon, Oregon State

Good looking win over Xavier, but not much else in their non-conference schedule.

Impressive sweep over the rival Wildcats, especially the win today at Arizona.

The win snapped their five-game skid and the schedule is not too bad coming down the stretch.

Most likely they will need to split their remaining road games and win at least two of their home games to have a shot.

Odds on Dancing: 25 percent

 

OREGON 14-9 (5-6)

Remaining schedule:

Home—Washington, Washington State, Arizona State, Arizona

Road—USC, UCLA, Oregon State

The Ducks won a very big bubble game at California in impressive fashion.

At 5-6, if the Ducks win out at home and beat OSU on the road, they should get in.

That will be difficult, however, as they continue to get erratic play out of the point guard position.

In non-conference play the Ducks have a win that keeps looking better (at Kansas State), but also have an equally bad loss on a neutral floor to Oakland.

Odds on Dancing: 35 percent

 

WASHINGTON 13-11 (4-7)

Remaining schedule:

Home—Arizona, Arizona State

Road—Oregon, Oregon State, Stanford, Cal, Washington State

The Huskies picked up a huge win against UCLA, but still have some serious work to do.

Jon Brockman is a force down low and one of the most under-appreciated players in a conference full of great ones.

Washington does not get much out of their guards, and if Ryan Appleby is not hitting threes, the Huskies struggle mightily to score.

If Justin Dentmon can play like he did against the Bruins they have a chance, but it will be an uphill battle.

Odds on Dancing: 5 percent

 

The Pac-10 should get five bids no problem and a sixth seems likely.

At this point my best guess is that UCLA, Stanford, USC, Arizona, and Washington State all make it fairly easily.

For the last bid it will be a battle between Cal, Oregon, and ASU.

If the Ducks can get a sweep of the Washington schools this weekend they will be in the best position thanks to their two wins over Cal and a home game still to play against Arizona State.

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written on February 10, 2008 Sports

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