The War Report Volume 1: Wanderlei Will Beat Rampage

Robert DesRoche by Analyst Written on December 10, 2008
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On the other hand, Jackson has gone 7-2 since their last fight, only losing to Shogun and Forrest Griffin.  Everyone agrees that he has become much more polished in all aspects of the game. 

In an interview leading up to this fight, Jackson commented on his previous fights with Wanderlei, "Man, I was a terrible fighter back then. I didn't know nothing. I don't even know how I made it to the championship to fight him." It could be taken as an excuse, but maybe it's just honesty, stating the facts, or confidence. 

But could it just be rationalization?  I think it is very valid that we ask the question when analyzing this fight: Is Wanderlei in Rampage's head? 

My opinion: However you much stock you put into it, I think Wanderlei has a mental edge in this fight. Rampage can put Wanderlei on his back, take him out of his comfort zone, rock him, anything.  I still feel that the previous two fights place an extra weight of confidence in the already amazing fighter mentality of Wanderlei, and at least an ounce of doubt in the back of Rampage's mind.

Because what will Wanderlei do? He'll try an armbar off his back. He'll create space and get back to his feet. He'll get up if he's knocked down. He'll keep stalking. He'll keep striking. 

Of course Rampage has worked on his clinch over the years, and he'll probably be a lot more prepared to handle the knees than he was before. But what about his leg kick defense? Standing there flat-footed isn't going to do against Silva. What about the times we've seen Rampage simply stick his two gloves in front of his face as he takes a barrage of strikes after being rocked?

I mentioned earlier their records since their last fight, but there is a key distinction to make here. In Rampage's last fight, he was decisioned by Forrest Griffin and left the octagon a loser, and limping.  He proceeded to get into a world of legal trouble following. It's hard to believe Rampage is back and better than ever coming into this fight until I see it.

In Wanderlei's last fight, he demolished Keith Jardine, using vicious hand speed and killer instinct. He leaped up onto the octagon and flexed in celebration. He looked like the man who had just beaten Rampage back on Oct. 31, 2004; That man who was mythical in his status; The man who was 19-0-1 in Pride before facing the 290-pound Mark Hunt.

Lots of people are probably coming into this fight having picked Rampage in one, if not both, of their first two fights. They think that Rampage has the right skill set and will pick him every time.

It may be no different than all the experts who picked against George Mason round, after round, after round, after round of the NCAA tournament, convinced this is the time things will go the way they are supposed to, and ending up banging their heads against the wall. Wanderlei Silva wins via TKO, round 3

 

To see Brian's opposing viewpoint click here.

Vote Now! - Author Poll

After reading both articles, who do you think will win?

  • Wanderlei Silva
  • Rampage Jackson
vote to see results
Results - Author Poll

After reading both articles, who do you think will win?

  • Wanderlei Silva

    57.1%
  • Rampage Jackson

    42.9%
  • Total votes: 21
(0)
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written on December 10, 2008 Preview/Prediction

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