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Oklahoma vs. Kansas State: Spread Info, Line, BCS Impact and Predictions

NORMAN, OK - OCTOBER 22:  Quarterback Landry Jones #12 of the Oklahoma Sooners looks to throw in the first half against theTexas Tech Red Raiders on at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium on October 22, 2011 in Norman, Oklahoma.  Oklahoma was upset by Texas Tech 41-38. (Photo by Brett Deering/Getty Images)
Brett Deering/Getty Images
Kyle VassaloFeatured Columnist IVNovember 19, 2016

No. 8 Kansas State and No. 9 Oklahoma square off in a matchup that will make or break both teams. Win and Kansas State proves once and for all that they aren't just an elite Big 12 team, they're a national championship contender. Lose, and people will point to their relatively soft schedule as the catalyst behind their success.

Oklahoma was shocked last week against Texas Tech. Their national championship hopes are out the window, Landry Jones' Heisman hopes are a distant memory and the Sooners are now scrambling to save their Big 12 Championship hopes.

This is a must-win game for both sides. Let's take a closer look at who is going to come away with a victory.

Where: Bill Snyder Stadium, Manhattan, Kansas

When: Saturday, Oct. 29 at 3:30 p.m. ET

Watch: ESPN/ESPN3

Spread: Oklahoma -14

Take the points. Oklahoma is on the road, Kansas State is undefeated and given their epic collapse last week, it's impossible to assume the Wildcats are going to get blown away.

The Sooners should win this game, but it's not going to be a blowout by any means. This isn't the first time this season that Kansas State has been written off. They relish being under the radar and written off, to which their unblemished record is a testament.

 

Over/Under: 59

Take the over. Both teams average over 30 points per game. This is going to be a closer matchup than advertised and when Oklahoma puts the pressure on Kansas State, it's going to turn into a shootout that drives the point total well over 59.

LAWRENCE, KS - OCTOBER 15:  Ryan Broyles #85 of the Oklahoma Sooners is congratulated by quarterback Landry Jones #12  after making a touchdown catch during the game against the Kansas Jayhawks on October 15, 2011 at Memorial Stadium in Lawrence, Kansas.
Jamie Squire/Getty Images

 

Key Injuries (via USA Today)

 

Oklahoma

Dominique Whaley, RB, (Illness): Probable

Casey Walker, DT, (Undisclosed): Questionable

Jamell Fleming, DB, (Knee): Doubtful

Tom Wort, LB, (Concussion): Doubtful

Jimmy Stevens, K, (Quad): Doubtful

Ben Habern, OL, (Arm): Out 

 

Kansas State

Shaun Simon, OL, (Leg): Questionable

Brodrick Smith, WR, (Undisclosed): Questionable

Sheldon Smith, WR, (Undisclosed): Questionable

Bryce Brown, RB, (Personal): Out for Season

Manase Foketi, OL, (Ankle): Out 

 

BCS/Top 25 Poll Implications

Oklahoma State's national championship hopes were crushed last week, but they still have a great chance at finishing in Top Five and winning a Big 12 Championship. A loss will send them shooting even further down the rankings even further, potentially outside of the Top 15.

Kansas State has slowly but surely worked their way up from being off everyone's radar to being a national championship dark horse.

The Wildcats have taken down every opponent that has come their way, and unlike Stanford and Boise State, they have a string of signature games lying in their immediate future. A win over the Sooners would launch them into the Top Five.

 

Keys to Oklahoma Win

Don't lament the loss. Oklahoma has got to feel dejected after flushing their national championship hopes down the toilet, but if they lick their wounds they are going to find themselves recovering from multiple losses, rather than just one.

MIAMI GARDENS, FL - SEPTEMBER 24:  Quarterback Collin Klein #7  of the Kansas State University Wildcats rushes upfield against the Miami Hurricanes September 24, 2011 at Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.  (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)
Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images

Oklahoma's secondary gave up 452 yards through the air last week. Keeping Collin Klein in check would give Kansas State no shot at keeping up with the pace the Sooners are going to set.

 

Keys to Kansas State Win

Air it out. Klein gets it done with his legs and arm, but their secondary proved vulnerable last week. Klein hasn't thrown for over 200 yards all season long. It's just not how their offense operates. Even so, they have to take what Oklahoma is giving them.

Klein is going up against Landry Jones. He's got to replicate the performance Seth Doege put forth if Kansas State is to have any shot whatsoever.

Prediction: Oklahoma 41, Kansas State 33

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