NFL Lock Bets of the Week

Devin DunevantContributor IDecember 10, 2008

Looking at the lines this week, there are some really good games and some really good lines (Giants/Cowboys over/under 44.5, for example). Then there are the lines that cause bookies to lose jobs. Here are some from this week.

SF +6.5 in MIA

Miami is the perfect example of a team who plays to the level of their competition. The Dolphins' biggest win of the season was the debacle in New England in Matt Cassel's first week. In the past five weeks they've beaten Seattle by three, Oakland by two, lost to New England, beat St. Louis by four, and finally covered a spread against the nose-diving Bills. San Fran is coming off beating those same Bills and shocking the Jets. I'll take the points.

ATL -3 at home against TB

This division cannot win on the road. It has been proven over and over (none more than on Monday night in Carolina). The division can also not lose at home. Never mess with the theory.

NYG +3 in Dallas

Yes, the Giants looked bad last week against the Eagles. Yes, they have distractions. Yes, Antonio Pierce looked better hiding Plax's gun than he did stopping Brian Westbrook. But these are still the Giants who were given the NFC after week four and they're still playing the hated Cowboys with a chance to knock them out of the playoffs. This is a case of bookies outthinking themselves. Bet the house Giants fans.

I also like the 34.5 under in Baltimore (21-10) and the 44.5 under in Houston (24-17). Don't get too crazy jumping on the 17 points the Lions are getting against the Colts, that could easily be a 38-3 game. Just ask any Lions fan if you don't believe me.