I alluded in last week’s Backdoor Cover that I was taking care of my sick child. Love him to death, but of course I spent the weekend sick as well. Being bedridden, I caught a lot of television. Specifically, I watched episodes of The Office and also Family Guy. While neither are my favorite shows I rarely turn them off if they come on either. In my dehydration/pain-killer state, I happened on a revelation. They are practically the same show. Follow me here:
Both have lovable idiots that are in charge — Peter and Michael Scott. Both have masterminds that are slightly evil — Stewie and Dwight. Both have individuals that are possibly retarded — Chris and Kevin. Both have red-headed women that aren’t super attractive at first but after multiple viewings they are very hot — Lois and Pam. Both have the easy going guy in love with the hot woman — Brian and Jim. Both have a woman that serves mostly as a punchline — Meg and Phyllis. Both have a single black guy — Cleveland and Stanley. Both have a creepy old guy — Herbert and Creed.
I haven’t done any internet research but I’m sure there are sites dedicated to it. I also imagine there are more or better connections that what I made. Regardless, I’m kinda proud of it.
Just like last week, I feel good about this week’s slate of games and the lines. This week is sponsored by Forgetting Sarah Marshall, one of the most underrated funny times of the past five years. I feel like Paul Rudd and I would hang out. To the games…..
KANSAS CITY +5.5 at Oakland – Can’t go a week without leaving an Oakland game alone. Pushed on them last week and nearly got the Backdoor Cover. This play? Follows the normal checksheet of my criteria. Consensus on Oakland? Check. Going against a QB named either Kyle Boller or one that was watching games last weekend from his couch? Check. Team coming off of their bye that was playing much better? Check. Someone on team I’m betting on named Jackie Battle? Check. Good enough for me.
TENNESSEE -3 vs Houston – Once again, a team coming off a bye. I’m thinking the Titans spend 24/7 figuring out how to stop making Chris Johnson look terrible in both real football and fake football. Not sure why everyone is on the Texans. They appear to be their usual slightly better than average selves, especially with Andre Johnson out. I can’t explain it but this is the first game that jumped out at me.
WASHINGTON +1 at Carolina – I’ll admit, this one looks sketchy. Here’s what I’m thinking – Everyone loves Carolina because of Cam Newton and assumes he will win the game for them. What they don’t realize is their defense is absolutely terrible. I am betting on the fact that John Beck will hand off extremely well vs. the worst run defense in football and make enough throws to keep them honest. Washington has a good defense and should limit what the Panthers do offensively. I don’t think this will be an easy cover, but this is a game Washington should win.
SAN DIEGO -1 at NY Jets – This line has gone down all week. Doesn’t worry me. New York looked much more terrible on Monday night than the score indicates. On a short week, they take on a rested Charger team coming off of a bye which should be at full strength. This boils down to the fact I think San Diego is much better than the Jets. I hate backing Norv Turner as much as anyone, but we should be okay.
ATLANTA +4 at Detroit – We won last week going against Detroit and this week we should make it a streak. This line shouldn’t more more than three, especially now the Lions shouldn’t have a running game. I think we are getting good line value still because of Detroit’s fast start.
DENVER +1 at Miami – Ah yes, even I can’t overcome the desire to want to back Tim Tebow. Denver is also coming off a bye (catch on to the theme yet?) and has the ability to pull the win against the hapless Dolphins. I think this is a meeting of two teams with different outlooks. Denver wants to win and individually show they belong in John Fox’s future plans. Miami wants to lose so they can get Andrew Luck and they know their coach is on his way out. I try to stay out of Denver games, especially road games, but I can’t pass this up. He is powering my fantasy teams as well so In Tebow we Trust.
SUICIDE PICK: Easy win last week on the Packers. This week I’m staying local and going with the New Orleans Saints. I don’t see anyway they lose this game against the Colts coming off a loss last week. Good of a time as any to use the Black and Gold. Good luck. Previous - HOU, PIT, SD, TAMPA, NYG, GB