Expect a Win from Tebow this Week
For Week 6, my predictions for each NFL game went 9-5. I hope to improve upon that mark this week.
My goal is to hit double digit wins and go 10-3. Here are my Week 7 NFL picks:
San Diego sits atop the AFC West at 4-1. Conversely, the Jets are third in the AFC East with a 3-3 record. Also, the Chargers' lone loss was to the New England Patriots, one of the top teams in the league.
On the other hand, the Jets have only beaten teams who now have a losing record. Unless something unforeseen happens, the Chargers are my pick to win this one.
The pick: San Diego
Chicago looked awesome Sunday as they absolutely demolished the Minnesota Vikings, who are 1-5. The Bears are now 3-3 with a positive point differential on the season. Chicago is 0-2 on the road this year and 3-1 at home.
How are my picks?
Tampa Bay barely hung on last week to beat the very good New Orleans Saints. They are now in first in the NFC South with a 4-2 record. Their negative point differential can be accounted for by the blowout loss they had a couple of weeks ago.
The Pick: Tampa Bay
Both of these teams are 2-3 so far this season. Both teams have a similar point differential this year.
Because this is one is such a tough call, I’m going with the home team.
The Pick: Cleveland
The Falcons have defeated the Seahawks, Panthers and Eagles. They have lost to the Bears, Buccaneers and Packers. The Lions are more similar to the latter group than the former.
The Pick: Detroit
Denver hasn’t looked too good this season. Tebow seemed to ignite the team, though, as they almost came back and beat San Diego in Week 5. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are winless.
If the Broncos play like they did when Tebow came in last week, they should be able to win without too much difficulty.
The Pick: Denver
This should be one of the best games of the week. The 3-3 Texans can move into first place in the AFC South with a win over the 3-2 Titans. This is clearly an important game for both teams.
The Titans have three things in their favor. First, wideout stud Andre Johnson is likely to miss the game. Second, they have the better defense between the two. Third, they are at home, which could be an important edge.
The Pick: Tennessee
Washington Redskins @ Carolina Panthers
At first glance, it is tempting to go with Cam Newton and the Panthers in this game. Then reality hits. Washington is 3-2; Carolina is 1-5.
The Redskins have one of the better defenses in the league. Last week, they held the Eagles to 20 points. Conversely, Carolina has given up the most points of any team in the NFL.
The Pick: Washington
Arizona has one win and four losses. This includes a blowout loss to the Vikings—a very bad team if you hadn't noticed.
Pittsburgh has four wins and two losses. This includes a 21-point win over Titans, who are a good team.
The Pick: Pittsburgh
The Chiefs have an awful point differential of minus-73 so far this year.
On the other hand, Oakland has a just above average point differential of plus-10. I don’t expect the Raiders to get upset at home.
The Pick: Oakland
The Packers look unbeatable right now; the Vikings look like they could lose to a college team.
I won’t pick against the Packers until they lose. That isn’t going to change against a bad team.
The Pick: Green Bay
The Rams have the worst point differential in the league. They have also scored the least points in the NFL.
Though the Cowboys are 2-3, they have beaten the 5-1 49ers and barely lost to the 5-1 Patriots. Expect a blowout.
The Pick: Dallas
Indianapolis Colts @ New Orleans Saints
The winless Colts have a big challenge going up against the Saints on Sunday night. To make matters worse, the Saints are coming off a loss.
To me, that says the Saints will be hungry to rebound with a win at home.
The Pick: New Orleans
The Jaguars put up a very good fight in their four-point loss to the Steelers. More than a few people will be tempted to pick them as the home team underdog.
The Ravens have the best point differential in the AFC, though, and were impressive last week in their win over Houston.
The Pick: Baltimore
Last Week: 9-4
Season: 64-26 (tied for second among espn experts) http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks