NFL Picks Week 7: Tim Tebow, the Denver Broncos, and Who Will Win This Week

Nick FContributor IIIOctober 18, 2011

Expect a Win from Tebow this Week
Expect a Win from Tebow this WeekBart Young/Getty Images

For Week 6, my predictions for each NFL game went 9-5. I hope to improve upon that mark this week.

My goal is to hit double digit wins and go 10-3. Here are my Week 7 NFL picks:

San Diego Chargers @ New York Jets:

San Diego sits atop the AFC West at 4-1. Conversely, the Jets are third in the AFC East with a 3-3 record. Also, the Chargers' lone loss was to the New England Patriots, one of the top teams in the league.

On the other hand, the Jets have only beaten teams who now have a losing record. Unless something unforeseen happens, the Chargers are my pick to win this one.

The pick: San Diego

Chicago Bears @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Chicago looked awesome Sunday as they absolutely demolished the Minnesota Vikings, who are 1-5. The Bears are now 3-3 with a positive point differential on the season. Chicago is 0-2 on the road this year and 3-1 at home.

Tampa Bay barely hung on last week to beat the very good New Orleans Saints. They are now in first in the NFC South with a 4-2 record. Their negative point differential can be accounted for by the blowout loss they had a couple of weeks ago.

The Pick: Tampa Bay

Seattle Seahawks @ Cleveland Browns

Both of these teams are 2-3 so far this season. Both teams have a similar point differential this year.

Because this is one is such a tough call, I’m going with the home team.

The Pick: Cleveland

Atlanta Falcons @ Detroit Lions

Detroit lost a tight game to the San Francisco 49ers last week to fall to 5-1. The Falcons improved to 3-3 on the season with a 14-point win over the Carolina Panthers.

The Falcons have defeated the Seahawks, Panthers and Eagles. They have lost to the Bears, Buccaneers and Packers. The Lions are more similar to the latter group than the former.

Calvin Johnson and the Lions will rebound against the Falcons
Calvin Johnson and the Lions will rebound against the FalconsGregory Shamus/Getty Images

The Pick: Detroit

Denver Broncos @ Miami Dolphins

Denver hasn’t looked too good this season. Tebow seemed to ignite the team, though, as they almost came back and beat San Diego in Week 5. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are winless.

If the Broncos play like they did when Tebow came in last week, they should be able to win without too much difficulty.

The Pick: Denver

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans

This should be one of the best games of the week. The 3-3 Texans can move into first place in the AFC South with a win over the 3-2 Titans. This is clearly an important game for both teams.

The Titans have three things in their favor. First, wideout stud Andre Johnson is likely to miss the game. Second, they have the better defense between the two. Third, they are at home, which could be an important edge.

Don't expect a win from Cam Newto this week
Don't expect a win from Cam Newto this weekKevin C. Cox/Getty Images

The Pick: Tennessee

Washington Redskins @ Carolina Panthers

At first glance, it is tempting to go with Cam Newton and the Panthers in this game. Then reality hits. Washington is 3-2; Carolina is 1-5.

The Redskins have one of the better defenses in the league. Last week, they held the Eagles to 20 points. Conversely, Carolina has given up the most points of any team in the NFL.

The Pick: Washington

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Arizona Cardinals

Arizona has one win and four losses. This includes a blowout loss to the Vikingsa very bad team if you hadn't noticed.

Pittsburgh has four wins and two losses. This includes a 21-point win over Titans, who are a good team.

The Pick: Pittsburgh

Romo's up and down season should hit a high this Sunday
Romo's up and down season should hit a high this SundayElsa/Getty Images

Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders

The Chiefs have an awful point differential of minus-73 so far this year.

On the other hand, Oakland has a just above average point differential of plus-10. I don’t expect the Raiders to get upset at home.

The Pick: Oakland

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings

The Packers look unbeatable right now; the Vikings look like they could lose to a college team.

I won’t pick against the Packers until they lose. That isn’t going to change against a bad team.

The Pick: Green Bay

Saint Louis Rams @ Dallas Cowboys

The Rams have the worst point differential in the league. They have also scored the least points in the NFL.

Though the Cowboys are 2-3, they have beaten the 5-1 49ers and barely lost to the 5-1 Patriots. Expect a blowout.

The Pick: Dallas

Indianapolis Colts @ New Orleans Saints

The winless Colts have a big challenge going up against the Saints on Sunday night. To make matters worse, the Saints are coming off a loss.

To me, that says the Saints will be hungry to rebound with a win at home.

The Pick: New Orleans

Baltimore Ravens @ Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars put up a very good fight in their four-point loss to the Steelers. More than a few people will be tempted to pick them as the home team underdog.

The Ravens have the best point differential in the AFC, though, and were impressive last week in their win over Houston.

The Pick: Baltimore

Last Week: 9-4

Season: 64-26 (tied for second among espn experts)


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