Andrew Luck is a safe bet to be the No. 1 overall pick in the 2012 NFL Draft. He has the size, the skill, and the pedigree to be a star at the next level.
Jim Harbaugh, his coach of three seasons, has turned around the San Francisco 49ers, so it is safe to say he has been raised in a system that will make his NFL transition relatively easy.
The same cannot be said for many other big-time NCAA quarterbacks. Here are five players who will prove to be busts at the next level.
Russell Wilson has done nothing but win games for the Wisconsin Badgers this season. His move to the Big Ten has been accompanied by efficient, mistake-free football.
Wilson is listed at 5’11” and does not have the size or the arm to be a great quarterback at the next level. He has good speed but not the elite athleticism to compete at running back or wide receiver.
To top it off, the Big Ten has not produced an elite quarterback since Drew Brees 11 drafts ago. Anyone hoping to find the next Doug Flutie or Josh Cribbs will be disappointed.
Kellen Moore is working on a second consecutive season completing over 70 percent of his passes. Moore holds the NCAA record for most wins and will likely set the record for most passing touchdowns.
No one can take anything away from his college success, but that is where it ends for the Boise State senior. Moore does not have an NFL build or arm.
Besides, the rest of the NCAA’s career touchdown leaders? Colt Brennan, Ty Detmer, Timmy Chang and Tim Rattay. Not exactly a glamour list of successful NFL quarterbacks.
Robert Griffin III may be the most electrifying player in the nation, but it took him some time to get there. RG3 was raw starting as a freshman, injured as a sophomore and solid as a junior.
With time, Griffin could be a solid NFL quarterback, but any team that expects him to produce as a rookie will experience a lot of growing pains.
Nick Foles is not a big name to the mainstream college football fan. Due to his NFL frame (6’5”, 240) and big arm, he is likely on someone’s radar.
Foles can chuck it down the field but puts too much air on the ball; NFL defensive backs will close on those balls and swat them down or pick them off.
Foles may have gaudy stats, but those are largely the result of playing catch-up for an awful Arizona Wildcats team.
If Landry Jones jumps after his junior season, someone will think they found the next Sam Bradford. Unlike Bradford, Jones is prone to mistakes, as the Oklahoma Sooners' quarterback has at least one turnover in four of his six games.
Jones’ completion percentage has regressed steadily since his first game, and Oklahoma has not exactly played any powerhouses. Come bowl season, Jones’ mistakes will cost his team, and some of the young quarterback's weaknesses will be exposed.