It used to be written in stone.
Eight NFL teams would win because they had an elite quarterback, four NFL teams would win because they had an elite defense, 10 teams would be mediocre because they had a bad quarterback or defense, and 10 teams would be awful because they had an awful quarterback and an awful defense.
It used to be that you had to have an elite quarterback or an elite defense to be a playoff caliber team in the NFL.
But when the NFL rules started to favor the offensive side of the ball the entire game changed.
You no longer needed an elite quarterback to make the playoffs as long as you had a steady quarterback.
Elite defenses decreased by about 75 percent and solid quarterbacks increased by about 50 percent.
The new NFL tells us that about ten teams will win because they have a solid quarterback, two teams will win because of their defense, 15 teams will be mediocre because they have an inconsistent quarterback, and five teams will be awful because they do not have a solid play.
In the new NFL about seven of out of all quarterbacks who take the field have a chance to win. Even though the new NFL is driven by parity, here are four quarterbacks who are winning this weekend.
Aaron Rodgers will deliver a huge win against the fraud that is the Atlanta Falcons.
The Falcons are a bad football team with a mediocre record and Rodgers and the Packers offense will expose them.
Rodgers will spread the ball around to his six receiving targets and the Packers offensive line will handle the Falcons defensive line rather easily.
Look for Rodgers to throw for over 360 yards and four touchdowns in a big win against the Falcons.
Jason Campbell and the Raiders have another huge game against the Houston Texans.
But without Andre Johnson (or even with a hurt Andre Johnson) it is tough to see the Texans offense getting anything going against the Raiders defense.
I think Campbell will do a great job of managing the game and will throw for at least 200 yards and will throw two touchdowns to one of his speedy receivers
This is not the week that the Steelers get back to playing on a Super Bowl level.
Big Ben is banged up and the Steelers are only averaging a little over three yards a carry this season.
The Titans will blitz the Steelers a lot, and it is tough to see how the Steelers will handle this with a poor offensive line and a hurt Big Ben.
I think Hasselbeck and the Titans offense control the clock and Hasselbeck throws for at least 250 yards and two touchdowns.
Never count out Josh Freeman.
Freeman has slowly become one of the leagues best fourth quarter quarterbacks, one of the leagues best third down quarterbacks, and one of the leagues most versatile quarterbacks.
Even if the 49ers get out to a big lead against the Buccaneers, I think Freeman wins the game for the Buccaneers in the fourth quarter.
Freeman will throw for at least 200 yards and will throw for two touchdowns in the fourth quarter alone.