Kansas City Chiefs vs. Indianapolis Colts: Spread Info, Line and Predictions

Michael DixonAnalyst IIIOctober 6, 2011

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - OCTOBER 10: Mike Hart #32 of the Indianapolis Colts runs with the football against the Kansas City Chiefs at Lucas Oil Stadium on October 10, 2010 in Indianapolis, Indiana. The Colts defeated the Chiefs 19-9. (Photo by Scott Boehm/Getty Images)
Scott Boehm/Getty Images

Week 5 will give us a showdown of two of the worst teams in the league. The Kansas City Chiefs will travel to Indiana to take on the Indianapolis Colts.

The two teams have one combined win. That came from the Chiefs, against a winless Vikings team.

Both of these teams were playoff qualifiers in 2010, but that seems a long way away. Injuries have rocked both teams, making it hard for them to even be competitive.

Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

When: Sunday, October 9 at 1:00 p.m. ET

Watch: CBS


Bodog expects a relatively low-scoring game, with an over/under of 39. Obviously, that would mean that the two teams average fewer than 20 points.

I actually think this will be pretty close. While both offenses have some accomplished players, neither has been especially impressive at this point of the year.

It will be close, but I will go with the under. If you bet on this game, I'd suggest you do the same.

Spread: Colts (-3, +115)

With that spread, you're basically asking yourself who you think will win. If you think the Colts are going to win, odds are that you're not specific enough to think that they will win by one or two points.

At home and with Curtis Painter improving, I will go with Indianapolis to win and cover.

Key Injuries

The Chiefs are riddled with injuries as TE Tony Moeaki, S Eric Berry and RB and Jamaal Charles are out for the year.

As far as players not on IR, WR Jon Baldwin (thumb), Terrance Copper (illness) and S John McGraw (knee) are all on the injury report, but all are in full participation at practice.

The main injury for the Colts is QB Peyton Manning, who will not play and is likely out for the year.

RB Joseph Addai (not injury-related), T Anthony Castonzo (ankle), G Ryan Diem (ankle), TE Brody Etheridge (knee), DE Robert Mathis (not injury related), DT Drake Nevis (back) did not participate in practice.

QB Kerry Collins (concussion), DT Fili Moala (ankle) and LB Ernie Sims were limited in practice.

DE Dwight Freeney (abdomen), C Mike Pollak (arm) and G Joe Reitz (ankle) were all in full participation at practice.

Fantasy Big Plays

Chiefs RB Thomas Jones was expected to be a nice sleeper when Charles went down, but has just not done well. Leave him on your bench.

This will not be a high-scoring game, so either defense is a good option.

With an emerging Curtis Painter at QB, Colts WR Reggie Wayne and TE Dallas Clark are good plays.

Keys to Chiefs Win

The Chiefs have to establish a ground game. They still have nice receiving options but if the ground game isn't respected, any NFL defense can limit the Chiefs receivers. 

Keys to Colts Win

Don't turn the ball over. The Chiefs are beaten up, but still have good defensive players. They need to keep Tambi Hali out of their backfield. 


Neither team has given fans much reason for confidence. While they are 0-4, the Colts' last two games against tough Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay teams have been impressive.

Kansas City's only win was against the Vikings.

At home, I will go with the Colts to pick up their first win.

Colts 21, Chiefs 13

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