UFC Live Cruz vs. Johnson: Main Card Predictions for the Chaos in the Capital
Tonight sets to be another step forward for the bantamweights to gain the recognition they deserve when perennial bantamweight kingpin, Dominick Cruz, takes on the UFC's littlest fighter, Demetrious Johnson.
UFC Live Cruz vs. Johnson will feature the first UFC title fight to air on Versus and will also be the first title fight to air free since Quinton "Rampage" Jackson versus Dan Henderson at UFC 75.
Along with the big title fight between Cruz and Johnson will be the co-main event which is the biggest height difference for any fight the UFC has ever had.
The human skyscraper, Stefan Struve, will face former kickboxer, Pat Barry. Both fighters are coming off of knockout losses in their previous fights and will most likely see another early finish in this fight.
Along with these fights will also be a welterweight battle between Anthony "Rumble" Johnson against Charlie Brenneman and a lightweight battle between Matt Wiman and Mac Danzig.
Matt Wiman vs. Mac Danzig
Matt Wiman (13-6 MMA, 7-4 UFC)
Five wins by decision, four by knockout, four by submission
Five losses by decision, one by knockout
Mac Danzig (20-8-1 MMA, 4-4 UFC)
10 wins by submission, five by knockout, five by decision
Five losses by decision, two by submission, one by knockout
Breakdown: As many other people have mentioned, this is a rematch. Wiman controversially submitted Danzig at UFC 115. The referee thought Danzig had went out when Wiman had him in a guillotine choke, but Wiman was still very much alert and awake.
The UFC has finally put this rematch together after a year of waiting. Wiman is coming off a unanimous decision loss against Dennis Siver at UFC 132 and looked very good in that fight.
Danzig hasn't fought since UFC 124 where he earned "Knockout of the Night" honors against Joe Stevenson.
I think this time around, Wiman wins legitimately and will climb back up further into the lightweight rankings.
Prediction: Wiman by unanimous decision
Anthony Johnson vs. Charlie Brenneman
Charlie Brenneman (14-2 MMA, 3-1 UFC)
Seven wins by decision, five by knockout, two by submission
One loss by knockout, one by decision
Anthony "Rumble" Johnson (9-3 MMA, 6-3 UFC)
Six wins by knockout, three by decision
Two losses by submission, one by knockout
Breakdown: Good news for Brenneman, he is once again the underdog heading into a fight with a big-name opponent. Bad news for Brenneman, this time he won't be so lucky.
Last time out, Brenneman dropped the jaws of many MMA fans when he took out Rick Story, and now he has been graced with yet another big name on which to build his reputation.
Johnson has some serious wrestling and also has some good striking to boot. I think this fight ends early, unfortunately for Brenneman.
Prediction: Johnson by second-round TKO
Stefan Struve vs. Pat Barry
Stefan Struve (21-5 MMA, 5-3 UFC)
14 wins by submission, five by knockout, one by decision, one by disqualification
Four losses by knockout, one by submission
Pat Barry (6-3 MMA, 3-3 UFC)
Five wins by knockout, one by decision
Two losses by submission, one by knockout
Breakdown: Struve will enter this fight with a big height advantage—but then again when doesn't the 6-foot-11 fighter enter with a big height advantage?
Struve is coming off of a knockout loss to Travis Browne at UFC 130 and will look to rebound against Barry.
Struve has a good ground game, as evident by his 14 submission victories and will look to strike from far outside against the much smaller Barry. Struve will also look to bring the fight to the ground to neutralize Barry's leg kicks and just overall striking.
Barry is coming off of a huge loss to Cheick Kongo at UFC Live 4 in June. Barry will most definitely try and keep the fight standing and get inside the reach of Struve and wear out his lead leg with his vicious leg kicks.
If Barry can get inside the reach and utilize his leg kicks, I can see him pulling it off.
Prediction: Struve by second-round submission
Dominick Cruz (c) vs. Demetrious Johnson
Dominick Cruz (18-1 MMA, 1-0 UFC)
11 wins by decision, six by knockout, one by submission
One loss by submission
Demetrious "Mighty Mouse" Johnson (9-1 MMA, 2-0 UFC)
Four wins by submission, three by decision, two by knockout
One loss by decision
Breakdown: This should be a lot closer fight than the betting lines have it. I don't feel Mighty Mouse should be as big of an underdog as he is.
But, it isn't up to me to make the betting lines. Mighty Mouse and Cruz will push the fastest-paced fight the UFC has ever seen.
Cruz uses a very high-paced striking style that involves bobbing in and out while using pinpoint accuracy to wear his opponents down. Even if the fight does go to the ground, Cruz has a good wrestling background to help out.
Mighty Mouse is going to have his hands full as Cruz is nearly perfect in his striking. Mighty Mouse will have to exploit Cruz's reliance on head movement and strike while his chin is fully exposed.
If Mighty Mouse can do that, he will win. If the fight does go to the ground, Mighty Mouse proved in his last fight against Miguel Torres that he is a very good grappler and can win a ground fight if need be.
Prediction: Cruz by split decision
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