The Carolina Panthers will travel to Green Bay Sunday to take on the Packers at Lambeau Field in a game that is undeniably important for both squads and their playoff hopes.
The Panthers (8-3) have won two-of-three since their Week Nine bye. They won surprisingly close games at Oakland and against Detroit, but got blown out by the Falcons last week at the Georgia Dome.
Common themes in those games were poor tackling (against Atlanta last week in particular—193 of the Falcons' 392 yards were gained after contact), dismal quarterback play from Jake Delhomme, and tremendous offensive rushing success.
The Packers (5-6) have lost two-of-three, trampling Chicago in Green Bay but getting edged at Minnesota (a game lost on the kicking foot of Mason Crosby) and blown out at New Orleans.
Terrible defense (particularly the safeties getting beaten easily around the edge) and average quarterbacking by Aaron Rodgers have been commonplace in the losses.
Solid all-around team play was just as frequent in the win.
The Packers' offense has survived because of QB Aaron Rodgers and WRs Greg Jennings and Donald Driver. Rodgers has handled the adversity of succeeding Brett Favre as well as anyone could have hoped, throwing for 2,599 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions to complement a 90.5 passer rating.
Jennings, in only his third season, is having far and away his best season and is looking for his first 1,000-yard season—he has 56 receptions for 966 yards and 6 touchdowns.
Driver, a veteran in his 10th season, has done well in a complementary role to Jennings, making 49 catches for 615 yards and 3 touchdowns.
Green Bay RB Ryan Grant has struggled this year after a solid, near 1,000-yard season in 2007. He averages only 3.9 yards per carry and has been dealing with a figurative brick wall in the red zone. On 31 carries inside the opposing 20 yard-line, Grant has scored only three times and averages a mere 2.0 yards per carry.
Grant's woes this year could be faulted to a Green Bay offensive line that has given up 23 sacks in 2008. Yes, sacks allowed is a passing statistic, but it could be an indicator of a line that can't block in the running game in addition to being incompetent in the passing game. Starting RT Mike Tauscher is questionable with a hamstring injury. Fortunately for the Packers, that's not Julius Peppers' side of the line.
Packers TE Donald Lee should contribute in a very reserved role.
The Panthers have a stingy pass defense that allows only 192.1 yards per game, good for eighth in the NFL.
Cornerback Chris Gamble, whom the team signed to a six-year contract extension, is on pace for his best overall season, with 65 tackles, 15 deflections, and 2 interceptions.
The pass defense as a whole doesn't allow many deep plays because defensive coordinator Mike Trgovac generally keeps the corners five or six yards off the line of scrimmage and the safeties relatively deep to protect against the deep pass.
That stubborn tendency usually frustrates Panthers fans as the other team completes tons of short-to-medium passes, keeping the defense on the field for a long time and still scoring in the process.
But this week, this game plan should benefit Carolina, as the Packers' offense thrives on the deep ball—Green Bay is tied for seventh in the league in pass plays of 20 yards or longer and for third in pass plays of 40 yards or longer.
In essence, the Packers' offense is a carbon-copy of the Saints', whose passing attack the Panthers shut down for about 230 yards earlier in the season.
Carolina's speedy linebackers should be able to contain the short-to-medium range Green Bay air attack.
Ryan Grant averaged 4.4 yards per carry on 20 attempts in the meeting between Green Bay and Carolina last year—a respectable day.
But this time last year, Grant had all the confidence in the world, not to mention a future Hall-of-Fame quarterback keeping the defense honest with three touchdown passes. This year he has neither.
Plus, Panthers coaches decided to use some "shock therapy" this week in practice and rip into the defense with a painful statistic: the Falcons had gained 193 of their 392 total yards after contact.
Atlanta should have had maybe 235 or so yards of offense, instead of nearly 400. Don't expect Carolina's run defense to give Grant much.
Matchup To Watch
Panthers DE Julius Peppers vs. Packers LT Chad Clifton
Peppers ranks seventh in the league with nine sacks and leads the league in forced fumbles, with five. He's pressured the QB, run down rushers, and dropped into coverage when necessary. Peppers has done it all this year.
If Aaron Rodgers is going to give the Packers a chance in this game, Clifton is going to have to prevent Peppers from planting Rodgers on every other play while not getting whistled for holding.



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