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New England features the best passing offense in the league, averaging 437.7 passing yards and 34.7 points per game this season.
Oakland has the fifth worst passing defense.
Odds are the Raiders banged up secondary will not be able to contain both WR Wes Welker and TE Rob Gronkowski for four quarters. Throwing the ball often, and hoping for just the slightest breakdown in coverage, will be New England's first, second, and third options as it looks to score points early and often.
This is where Jason Campbell steps in.
New England ranks dead last in the league in pass defense, allowing opponents—including the abysmal Miami Dolphins—an average of 377 yards through the air.
Sunday afternoon may be a golden (silver?) opportunity for Campbell to spread his wings, and take advantage of an underwhelming Pats defense that has been helpless in slowing down confident passing schemes this season.
Campbell's longest pass last week against the New York Jets went for 28 yards.
It's an indication that Oakland's renewed and improved quarterback is okay with a little less glitter if it means a lot more gold. Efficient, consistent drives that move the chains and set up the ground game for touchdowns will not send a quarterback to the Pro Bowl, but it will lead to a lot of wins for the Raiders, and most likely a spot in the playoffs.
With help from an offensive line that has only given up two sacks, Campbell has kept Oakland in every game, completing 65.9 percent of his passes and only throwing one interception for a 93.8 QB rating.
Combine these statistics with the return of wide receivers Jacoby Ford and Darrius Heyward-Bey and New England's soft-serve pass rush, and Jason Campbell just may surprise a few more naysayers with his ability to be a winning quarterback.
Ideally: Campbell drops bombs all afternoon on Chung, Dowling, McCourty, everybody on that paper-mache defense, racking up over 250 passing yards and a pair of touchdowns. He even punches in a goal-line run late in the fourth to seal the deal.
Realistically: Campbell plays it safe, to continued positive effect. He throws for around 185 yards with a solid completion percentage. He takes a sack, but does not throw an interception. His lone touchdown pass goes to a streaking Denarius Moore.