College Football's Bubble Watch: The Final Week

Revenue Will Be Down

Big Ten (11 teams)

Contracts for seven bowls (63 percent)

Teams In (7)—Penn St., Ohio St., Michigan St., Northwestern, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin

Bubble Teams (0)

Conclusion: The Big Ten will have one less team than last year, but will meet their contracts. Revenue will be down.

2007-08 Bowls, Profit: $24,394,305 (eight teams)

Average distribution per conference team: $2.2 Million



Non-BCS Conference Teams

Bowl Eligible (28)

Mountain West (5) —Utah, TCU, BYU, Air Force, Colo St; MAC (6) —Ball State, C. Michigan, W. Michigan, Buffalo, Northern Illinois, Bowling Green; Conference USA (6) —Tulsa, Rice, Houston, East Carolina, Southern Mississippi, Memphis; Independent (2) —Navy (Congressional/Eagle Bank Bowl), Notre Dame; Sun Belt (3) —Troy, Arkansas State, Florida Atlantic; WAC (6) —Boise State, La. Tech, Fresno State, San Jose State, Nevada, Hawaii.

Need One Win (1)

Middle Tenn St. (5-6).

Games of the Week: Middle Tennessee State @ La-Lafayette

Conclusion: Non-BCS conference teams may have more than 25 bowl-eligible teams for 18-20 spots. How many scraps are left over will depend on how the BCS Bowl Bubble Teams finish.

Total Profits to Non-BCS schools and Other Distribution, 2007-08 Bowls: $16,670,198—11.6 percent of all bowl profits, slightly over $300,000 per team if divided equally.

After today's (11/29) games:

• the ACC has two extra teams
• the Big 12 is two teams short of their contracts
• the Big 10 made their contracts
• the SEC is one team short of their contracts
• the Big East has one Bubble team to make their contracts with one game to play
• the Pac-10 Bubble teams still have games to play but will be at least one team short, possibly two

The estimated total number of non-BCS teams should be 21 with one more Pac 10 team.  If Louisville, UCLA and ASU all do not qualify, twenty-two spots will be open. 

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