NFL Picks Week 3: 5 Picks That Could Net You Major Profit
With Week 3 of the 2011 NFL season just a few days away, it is that time of week to start looking towards your picks for this week's games.
Whether you're picking to bet amongst friends, in an office pool, in a fantasy pick 'em league or just to prove that you know what you're talking about, there are always a few teams that you can pick against the grain for big money, big points and big bragging rights.
Even when one team is heavily favored over the other, the underdog can still win. That's why they play the games, right?
These five underdog teams are a good group to throw your lot in with this weekend. Give them a shot; you won't be sorry.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Atlanta Falcons
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The Atlanta Falcons were the number one seed in the NFC in 2010, going 13-3 and sweeping the rival Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the process.
That will not happen in 2011. The Falcons looked shaky at best in their win over the Philadelphia Eagles, and terrible at worst in their Week 1 loss to the Chicago Bears. Matt Ryan is not playing up to his own standards, and the offense has not appeared to be the powerhouse that everyone was expecting.
The Buccaneers have not fared much better. Like the Falcons, they engineered their lone victory in a comeback, but their loss was not as humiliatingly atrocious and was against a better team.
Moreover, the Falcons showed weaknesses all over their defense, which Josh Freeman and LeGarrette Blount should be able to exploit late in Sunday's game. Aqib Talib and Ronde Barber will provide ample coverage on Roddy White and Julio Jones.
Expect a good game, but put your Fantasy Pick 'Em confidence points in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for Week 3.
4. Denver Broncos over Tennessee Titans
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For some reason I cannot fathom, the Tennessee Titans are favored to defeat the Denver Broncos.
I don't see it.
Matt Hasselbeck's huge game was flukey against a Baltimore Ravens team playing a clear trap game, and Champ Bailey should do a good job shutting down Kenny Britt.
Chris Johnson, as everyone expected, no longer plays football now that he got his absurd deal.
Good job Titans' front office. You really struck gold there. Gold teeth anyway.
The Broncos are hungry for another win to stay in the AFC West race. Look for them to get it here.
3. Washington Redskins over Dallas Cowboys
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The Dallas Cowboys regained some respect with a hard-fought overtime win over the San Francisco 49ers, and a gutsy performance by Tony Romo with some cracked ribs.
However, it was still an overtime win over the San Fransisco 49ers. That doesn't bode well for anyone.
Likewise, the Washington Redskins barely squeaked by the Arizona Cardinals to improve to 2-0.
The Cowboys have the more talented roster and should be the favorites to win this game, despite the 2-0 record of the Redskins.
Somehow, everyone's pick for the worst team in the NFC East will improve to 3-0 this Monday. Tim Hightower is living up to his preseason expectations, their defense remains stout and Rex Grossman is playing the best football of his career.
Miles Austin is out for a few weeks, and even if Tony Romo plays, he'll be playing hurt against a very aggressive 3-4 pass rush.
I like the Redskins' chances this week. You should too.
2. New York Giants over Philadelphia Eagles
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Michael Vick or no Michael Vick, the Philadelphia Eagles will be favored over the New York Giants in Week 3.
However, thanks to the Atlanta Falcons, there is now a blueprint for defeating the Eagles: rush Vick and POUND THE ROCK.
Michael "The Burner" Turner had a fantastic game running all over the Eagles' linebackers, and Tony Gonzalez had a field day with their weak linebacker and safety coverages.
The Eagles' strength up front lies in Trent Cole and Jason Babin going out wide and running around the linemen for the pass rush. This creates massive running lanes between the the tackles for the opposing running backs to exploit, especially since William Beatty and Kareem McKenzie are more than capable of protecting the backfield.
Between Ahmad Bradshaw's shifty style and Brandon Jacobs' power running, the Eagles defense will quickly wear down, just like they did against Turner.
If Mike Kafka is under center, the Giants will run away with this one in a hurry. Even if Vick does play, New York proved they can stop him during the last Miracle at the Meadowlands, despite a terrible collapse late.
You have to like Big Blue's chances to break a seven-game losing streak against Philadelphia.
1. Houston Texans over New Orleans Saints
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The Houston Texans are living up to my lofty expectations for them this season. However, they have yet to prove themselves against a real challenge.
So far they have defeated the Peyton Manning-less Indianapolis Colts, and the less than stellar Miami Dolphins. Not exactly cream-of-the-crop.
Going up against the powerhouse New Orleans Saints, the Texans have a chance to show that they are for real, and they know it. The franchise that has never been to the postseason will be looking to validate themselves against Drew Brees and his squad.
The Saints will be favored at home, but the Texans have the tools and talent to win this matchup.
It is going to be a thriller in the Big Easy, but look for the Texans to come out on top thanks to their more complete offensive attack.