This article comes from the blog 90% is Half Statistical and to read the other posts of this blog go to http://ninetypercentishalfstatistical.mlblogs.com
On September 2nd, a Brewers fan named Owen emailed the Baseball Today podcast concerning Ryan Braun. The first part of his email talked about how Braun would rank among baseball players in terms of their value to the franchise on and off the field . However, it was the second part of his email that intrigued me. He pointed out that Ryan Braun was on pace for a 30-30 season with 100 RBIs and 100 runs. He then asked how many times this has happened before in MLB history.
Overall, this feat has been accomplished by 21 different players and the feat itself has been accomplished 30 times. Here are the 21 players:
Hank Aaron, Bobby Abreu (2x), Jeff Bagwell (2x), Carlos Beltran, Dante Bichette, Barry Bonds (5x with a 40-40), Bobby Bonds, Ellis Burks, Jose Canseco (40-40), Eric Davis, Ron Gant, Shawn Greene, Vladamir Guerrero (2x), Howard Johnson (2x), Dale Murphy, Alex Rodriguez (40-40), Alfonso Soriano (2x), Daryl Strawberry, Larry Walker, Ken Williams, and David Wright.
Going into the games of September 11, Braun has a WAR of 6.7. That projects to a 7.4 WAR if he continues this level of play and appears in games at his current rate. With that in consideration, the list of players who go 30/30/100/100 and posted a WAR of 7.4 or more is as follows:
Hank Aaron, Jeff Bagwell (2x), Barry Bonds (4x with a 40-40), Burks, Canseco, Eric Davis, Howard Johnson, Alex Rodriguez, Larry Walker, and David Wright.
Now it’s been said that baseball lacks a superstar face of the game who is playing at a superstar level, especially with Derek Jeter on the backside of his career. But just look at those numbers. Ryan Braun is putting up numbers that guys like Hank Aaron, Barry Bonds, and Alex Rodriguez once put up.
He should be someone who the MLB goes out of their way to market. He’s handsome, he puts up great numbers, there is not a hint of steroid suspicion and he plays on a contender in the National League.
If he has a great postseason and/or leads the Brewers to the World Series, then there is no excuse for Major League Baseball to not go out of their way to showcase one of their best American stars on the national stage.
Looking at this postseason, the MLB has plenty of stars who should become household names, along with those on their way to superstardom. Though the MLB was not lucky enough for the NFL lockout to extend beyond the World Series, this postseason gives them a golden opportunity to increase their stake in the public consciousness.
(Stats and Years of the Players Who Accomplished 30/30/100/100)
Hank Aaron ’63: 44 HR, 31 SB, 130 RBI, 121 R, 10.0 WAR
Bobby Abreu ’04: 30 HR, 40 SB, 105 RBI, 118 R, 4.8 WAR
Bobby Abreu ’01: 31 HR, 36 SB, 110 RBI, 118 R, 4.9 WAR
Jeff Bagwell ’99: 42 HR, 30 SB, 126 RBI, 143 R, 7.7 WAR
Jeff Bagwell ’97: 43 HR, 31 SB, 135 RBI, 109 R, 8.1 WAR
Carlos Beltran ’04: 38 HR, 42 SB, 104 RBI, 121 R, 5.5 WAR
Dante Bichette ’96: 31 HR, 31 SB, 141 RBI, 114 R, 0.7 WAR
Barry Bonds ’97: 40 HR, 37 SB, 101 RBI, 123 R, 8.8 WAR
Barry Bonds ’96: 42 HR, 40 SB, 129 RBI, 122 R, 10.8 WAR
Barry Bonds ’95: 33 HR, 31 SB, 104 RBI, 109 R, 7.3 WAR
Barry Bonds ’92: 34 HR, 39 SB, 103 RBI, 109 R, 10.0 WAR
Barry Bonds ’90: 33 HR, 52 SB, 114 RBI, 104 R, 9.7 WAR
Bobby Bonds ’77: 37 HR, 41 SB, 115 RBI, 103 R, 4.7 WAR
Ellis Burks ’96: 40 HR, 32 SB, 128 RBI, 142 R, 7.6 WAR
Jose Canseco ’88: 42 HR, 40 SB, 124 RBI, 120 R, 7.6 WAR
Eric Davis ’87: 37 HR, 50 SB, 100 RBI, 120 R, 8.0 WAR
Ron Gant ’91: 32 HR, 34 SB, 105 RBI, 101 R, 2.3 WAR
Shawn Green ’98: 35 HR, 35 SB, 100 RBI, 106 R, 3.1 WAR
Vladimir Guerrero ’02: 39 HR, 40 SB, 111 RBI, 106 R, 6.5 WAR
Vladimir Guerrero ’01: 34 HR, 37 SB, 108 RBI, 107 R, 4.8 WAR
Howard Johnson ’91: 38 HR, 30 SB, 117 RBI, 108 R, 4.1 WAR
Howard Johnson ’89: 36 HR, 41 SB, 101 RBI, 104 R, 7.7 WAR
Dale Murphy ’83: 36 HR, 30 SB, 121 RBI, 131 R, 7.2 WAR
Alex Rodriguez ’98: 42 HR, 46 SB, 124 RBI, 123 R, 7.9 WAR
Alfonso Soriano ’05: 36 HR, 30 SB, 104 RBI, 102 R, 1.7 WAR
Alfonso Soriano ’02: 39 HR, 41 SB, 102 RBI, 128 R, 4.7 WAR
Daryl Strawberry ’87: 39 HR, 36 SB, 104 RBI, 108 R, 6.7 WAR
Larry Walker ’97: 49 HR, 33 SB, 130 RBI, 143 R, 9.0 WAR
Ken Williams ’22: 39 HR, 37 SB, 155 RBI, 128 R, 7.3 WAR
David Wright ’07: 30 HR, 34 SB, 107 RBI, 113 RBI, 7.8 WAR
- A really interesting idea for a stat. Almost like a combination of Q rating and WAR. Guys who I believe fit the bill: Ryan Braun, Albert Pujols (which might get put to the test this year), Joe Mauer (when healthy and at catcher), and Troy Tulowitzki.
- Going into the games on September 11th, Braun is on pace for 30/34/105/107 (HR/SB/RBI/R)
- All WAR numbers come from Baseball Reference
- Though he’s an alleged cheater who I believe should never get into the Hall of Fame, one of the understated consequences of Bonds’ steroid use is the fact that very few, if any, will remember how good of a player he was before he started juicing. Before the steroids, Bonds had cemented himself behind Ted Williams as the greatest left fielder of all-time. Now, that’ll become what I am typing now.
- Along with Braun, and assuming the Rangers make the playoffs, here are my potential faces of the MLB: Justin Upton, Prince Fielder, Zack Greinke, Josh Hamilton, Justin Verlander, Jacoby Ellsbury, and Robinson Cano. Why did I leave Halladay, Lee, and Hamels off? Mostly because I believe the mainstream public will see the trio more than the individuals that make up the trio. The reason I picked Greinke and Verlander as pitchers is because mainstream fans respond to two things more than any other when it comes to pitchers; strikeouts and velocity. Verlander has both and Greinke is the league leader in K/9 among starts. Miguel Cabrera is not on the list unless there is public confirmation that he has got a hold of his drinking problem
- Bryce Harper, Stephen Strasburg, Mike Trout, Desmond Jennings (if they ever start marketing Rays players), Felix Hernandez (whenever he gets to a big market), Troy Tulowitzki, Jason Heyward (let him get healthy and show why he was so touted his rookie year), Clayton Kershaw, and Buster Posey. You can potentially add Matt Kemp but a .375 BABIP (only his rookie year’s is higher), a 65.5% O-Contact (career high) and a 20.6% HR/FB (career high) has got me thinking that there’s some regression coming his way.