While the Jets were able to overcome a 14-point deficit in the fourth quarter Sunday night, the Jaguars are coming off a close 16-14 victory against the struggling Tennessee Titans. Although both teams had close victories, there will still be no competition between these two on Sunday as the Jets should easily take advantage of the Jaguars.
To put it in simple terms, the Jets are better at just about every position than the Jaguars, with the only possible exception at running back.
If the obvious difference in talent is not persuasion enough, there are other reasons why the Jets have nothing to worry about on Sunday. First off, Luke McCown is an inexperienced quarterback with receivers that are not very talented. With cornerbacks like Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie covering the Jaguars receivers, there will be turnovers if he chooses to challenge either cornerback.
Because of McCown's inexperience and lack of a receiving core, head coach Rex Ryan and defensive coordinator Mike Pettiness will have no problem with blitzing for the vast majority of the game. With the cornerbacks in coverage, extra linebackers and possibly safeties can be sent, which should stop any attempts to run the ball with Maurice Jones-Drew.
It is a similar story for the Jets offensive unit as they will be able to do absolutely anything they want. The offensive line should be able to easily create holes for Shonn Greene and LaDainian Tomlinson, while Santonio Holmes, Dustin Keller and Plaxico Burress should be able to get open throughout the game.
Because of this, Brian Schottenheimer should change his game plan around throughout the game. During the Jets' win against the Cowboys, they never really established an offensive flow that is necessary if they want to be productive this season. One of the possible strategies could be to use the no-huddle offense when it is not within two minutes until the end of a half. Or they could try to incorporate passing more on first down since it worked well against the Cowboys.
On Sunday, the Jets only ran the ball 16 times—10 carries for Greene and six for Tomlinson, which is very weird considering the Jets have prided themselves on being a "ground 'n pound" team. This lack of balance helped contribute to the Jets' lack of offensive production against the Cowboys, and cannot continue if they want to win games.
In order for the Jets to be successful, they will need to find the right balance between running and passing the ball and make sure they can execute. Sunday's game is perfect for them to experiment and find their rhythm, because even if they make mistakes down the line, their opponent is subpar enough that they will be able to recover and win the game by a good amount.
If everything goes well, expect the Jets to win by a score of about 31-7.