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Pac-10 Bowl Breakdown and Scenarios

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Pac-10 Bowl Breakdown and Scenarios

The following is a breakdown for the Pac-10 bowl season: the games yet to be played and all of the possible outcomes. We’ll start with each of the potential bowls and then go team-by-team for each scenario...

 

 

 

ROSE BOWL (Pasadena, CA)

Thursday, January 1, 2009

 

Pac-10 Champion vs. Big 10 Champion, unless either champion is ranked No. 1 or No. 2 in the final BCS rankings. This seems highly unlikely this year, as USC sits at No. 6 with just two to play. Either Penn State or Ohio State seem likely opponents. Michigan State’s a long shot.

 

 

 

HOLIDAY BOWL (San Diego, CA)

Tuesday, December 30, 2008

 

The No. 2 or No. 3 Pac-10 team against the No. 3 or No. 4 Big 12 team, depending on if either conference has a second BCS Bowl representative. More than likely the Big 12 would. The Pac-10 would need OSU to get to the Rose Bowl and for USC to be chosen as an at-large. The Holiday Bowl, as do the other bowls with Pac-10 affiliation, has the right to select between whichever teams are tied. Either Missouri or Oklahoma St. would fall here as possible opponents, provided Texas, Texas Tech and Oklahoma make the two BCS Bowls and the Cotton Bowl.

 

 

 

SUN BOWL (El Paso, TX)

Wednesday, December 31, 2008

 

The No. 3 or No. 4 Pac-10 team against a Big 12, Big East or Notre Dame team. Like the Holiday Bowl they would have the right to select between whichever teams are tied for the No. 3 or No. 4 spot. The opponent was South Florida from the Big East last year, so, possibly Nebraska from the Big 12 or Notre Dame, if the Gator Bowl does not select them.

 

 

 

LAS VEGAS BOWL (Las Vegas, NV)

Saturday, December 20, 2008

 

The No. 4 Pac-10 team (they rotate fourth and fifth with the Emerald Bowl) against the Mountain West Champion. Unless one of them makes a BCS Bowl, the opponent appears to be Utah, BYU or TCU.

 

 

 

EMERALD BOWL (San Francisco, CA)

Saturday, December 27, 2008

 

The No. 5 Pac-10 team (they rotate fourth and fifth with the Las Vegas Bowl) against the No. 5, 6 or 7 team from the ACC. Take your pick of opponents. The ACC is staring at about a 10-way tie. It could be Georgia Tech, Clemson or Wake Forest. Or perhaps even Miami, Florida State or Boston College.

 

 

 

HAWAII BOWL (Honolulu, HA)

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

 

The No. 6 Pac-10 team against Hawaii (if eligible) or other WAC team.  If Hawaii beats Idaho and Washington State they’re in.  Otherwise Nevada, San Jose St, maybe Fresno State.

 

 

 

POINSETTIA BOWL (San Diego, CA)

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

 

The No. 7 Pac-10 team would play here, however, there will more than likely not be a seventh team that is bowl eligible for 2008. For that to happen, Stanford must beat Cal and the winner of ASU-UCLA must win their last game (ASU plays Arizona and UCLA has USC). If that happens, they’ll face the No. 2 Mountain West team, most likely Utah, BYU or TCU.

 

 

 

Possible Pac-10 Bowl Participants and Scenarios

 

USC Trojans (7-1, 9-1)

 

Remaining games against Notre Dame and at UCLA.

 

 

USC BCS BOWL SCENARIOS

 

USC and Oregon State finish in a tie at 8-1. The tie-breaker would go to Oregon State, by virtue of their 27-21 victory over the Trojans back in September. USC would then have to be selected as an at-large BCS school, which seems probable.

 

 

USC ROSE BOWL SCENARIOS

 

USC and Oregon finish in a tie at 7-2. The tie-breaker would go to USC, by virtue of their 44-10 victory over the Ducks back in October.

 

Three teams (USC, OSU, UO) tie at 7-2, Stanford finishes alone in fourth.  Stanford’s win over OSU eliminates them. USC’s win over Oregon gives it to them.

 

Three teams tie at 7-2, Arizona finishes alone in fourth. Arizona’s (presumptive) win over OSU eliminates them. USC’s win over Oregon gives it to them.

 

Three teams tie at 7-2, Cal, UCLA and Stanford finish in tie for fourth. Records against the three would all be 2-1, thus, USC would more than likely get the final tie-breaker by virtue of being the highest rated of the three in the BCS.

 

 

USC HOLIDAY BOWL SCENARIOS

 

Oregon Stateto Rose Bowl, USC not selected for other BCS Bowl.

 

 

 

Oregon State Beavers (6-1, 7-3)

 

Remaining games at Arizona and against Oregon.

 

 

OSU ROSE BOWL SCENARIOS

 

USC and Oregon State finish in a tie, either 8-1 or 7-2 in Pac-10. The tie-breaker would go to Oregon State, by virtue of their 27-21 victory over the Trojans back in September.

 

Three teams tie at 7-2, Cal finishes alone in fourth. The tie-breaker would begin with head to head and with each team having gone 1-1 against the other two, the next tie-breaker would be record against the next highest team. Cal’s win over Oregon eliminates them, and Oregon State takes the tie-breaker due to their win over USC.

 

 

OSU HOLIDAY BOWL SCENARIO

 

USC to Rose Bowl, OSU loses to Arizona, beats Oregon. Oregon State (7-2) would be alone in second and go.

 

 

OSU SUN BOWL SCENARIO

 

USC to Rose Bowl, Oregon to Holiday Bowl. Sun could have to choose between Oregon State and California.

 

 

OSU LAS VEGAS BOWL SCENARIO

 

USC to Rose Bowl, Oregon to Holiday Bowl, Sun chooses and 8-4 California team over a 7-5 OSU team.

 

 

Oregon Ducks (6-2, 8-3)

 

Remaining game at Oregon State.

 

 

UO ROSE BOWL SCENARIO

 

All three teams tie at 7-2, UCLA and Stanford finish in tie for fourth. Stanford’s win over OSU eliminates them. UCLA’s (presumptive) win over USC eliminates them. And Oregon, having beaten both heads to the Rose Bowl.

 

 

UO HOLIDAY BOWL SCENARIOS

 

Oregon State to Rose Bowl, USC to other BCS Bowl, Cal loses one. Oregon (6-3) would be alone in second and go.

 

USC to Rose Bowl, OSU beats Arizona, loses to Oregon. Oregon (7-2) would be alone in second and go.

 

Oregon State to Rose Bowl, USC to other BCS Bowl, Cal wins out. The Holiday Bowl would choose between Oregon (6-3) and California (6-3). Cal was there in 2006 and Oregon in 2005, which may give it to the Ducks.

 

 

UO SUN BOWL SCENARIO

 

Oregon State to Rose Bowl, USC to other BCS Bowl, Cal chosen over Oregon for Holiday Bowl. Oregon would be slotted for the Sun Bowl, however, played there in 2007. Stanford or Arizona could sneak in here.

 

 

UO LAS VEGAS BOWL SCENARIOS

 

Oregon State to Rose Bowl, USC to other BCS Bowl, Cal to Holiday Bowl, Arizona to Sun Bowl. Oregon would fall here.

 

USC to Rose Bowl, Oregon State to Holiday Bowl, Cal to Sun Bowl. Either Oregon or Arizona.

 

 

UO EMERALD BOWL SCENARIO

 

The Emerald Bowl simply gets whatever Pac-10 bowl eligible team is left.  From the looks of it, that will more than likely be Arizona or California.  It could be Oregon if they’re not selected to return to the Sun Bowl.  And it could potentially be Stanford if they were to beat Cal, or ASU if they win out.

 

 

California Golden Bears (4-3, 6-4)

 

Remaining games against Stanford and Washington.

 

 

CAL HOLIDAY BOWL SCENARIOS

 

Oregon State to Rose Bowl, USC to other BCS Bowl, Cal wins out. The Holiday Bowl would choose between Oregon (6-3) and California (6-3). Cal was there in 2006 and Oregon in 2005, which may give it to the Ducks.

 

 

CAL SUN BOWL SCENARIOS

 

Oregon State to Rose Bowl, USC to other BCS Bowl, Oregon chosen over Cal for Holiday Bowl. Cal would get Sun Bowl if they beat Stanford.

 

USC to Rose Bowl, Oregon State to Holiday Bowl. Sun could have to choose between Oregon, Cal, and Arizona.

 

USC to Rose Bowl, Oregon to Holiday Bowl. Sun could have to choose between Oregon State and California.

 

 

CAL LAS VEGAS BOWL SCENARIO

USC to Rose Bowl, Oregon to Holiday Bowl, Oregon State to Sun Bowl. Either California/Stanford winner or potentially Arizona/Arizona State winner.

 

 

CAL EMERALD BOWL SCENARIO

 

The Emerald Bowl simply gets whatever Pac-10 bowl eligible team is left. From the looks of it, that will more than likely be Arizona or California. It could be Oregon if they’re not selected to return to the Sun Bowl. And it could potentially be Stanford if they were to beat Cal, or ASU if they win out.

 

 

Arizona Wildcats (4-3, 6-4)

 

Remaining games against Oregon State and Arizona State.

 

 

UA SUN BOWL SCENARIOS

 

Oregon State to Rose Bowl, USC to other BCS Bowl, Cal chosen over Oregon for Holiday Bowl.  Oregon would be slotted for the Sun Bowl, however, played there in 2007. Stanford or Arizona could sneak in here.

 

USC to Rose Bowl, Oregon State to Holiday Bowl. Sun could have to choose between Oregon, Cal and Arizona.

 

 

UA LAS VEGAS BOWL SCENARIOS

 

Oregon State to Rose Bowl, USC to other BCS Bowl, Oregon to Holiday Bowl, Cal to Sun Bowl. More than likely Arizona or Stanford would slide here.

 

USC to Rose Bowl, Oregon State to Holiday Bowl, Cal to Sun Bowl. Either Oregon or Arizona.

 

USC to Rose Bowl, Oregon to Holiday Bowl, Oregon State to Sun Bowl. Either California/Stanford winner or potentially Arizona/Arizona State winner.

 

 

UA EMERALD BOWL SCENARIO

 

The Emerald Bowl simply gets whatever Pac-10 bowl eligible team is left. From the looks of it, that will more than likely be Arizona or California. It could be Oregon if they’re not selected to return to the Sun Bowl. And it could potentially be Stanford if they were to beat Cal.

 

 

UA HAWAII BOWL SCENARIO

 

The Hawaii Bowl would get the sixth eligible team from the Pac-10, which could be Arizona if they lose out, or ASU or UCLA, if they win out. Stanford could also slide here.

 

 

Stanford Cardinal (4-4, 5-6)

 

Remaining game at California.

 

 

STANFORD SUN BOWL SCENARIO

 

Oregon State to Rose Bowl, USC to other BCS Bowl, Cal chosen over Oregon for Holiday Bowl. Oregon would be slotted for the Sun Bowl, however, played there in 2007.  Stanford or Arizona could sneak in here.

 

 

STANFORD LAS VEGAS BOWL SCENARIOS

 

Oregon State to Rose Bowl, USC to other BCS Bowl, Oregon to Holiday Bowl, Cal to Sun Bowl. More than likely Arizona or Stanford would slide here.

 

USC to Rose Bowl, Oregon to Holiday Bowl, Oregon State to Sun Bowl. Either California/Stanford winner or potentially Arizona/Arizona State winner.

 

 

STANFORD EMERALD BOWL SCENARIO

 

The Emerald Bowl simply gets whatever Pac-10 bowl eligible team is left. From the looks of it, that will more than likely be Arizona or California. It could be Oregon if they’re not selected to return to the Sun Bowl. And it could potentially be Stanford if they were to beat Cal, or ASU if they win out.

 

 

STANFORD HAWAII BOWL SCENARIO

 

The Hawaii Bowl would get the sixth eligible team from the Pac-10, which could be Arizona if they lose out, or ASU or UCLA, if they win out. Stanford could also slide here.

 

 

Arizona State Sun Devils (3-4, 4-6)

 

Remaining games against UCLA and at Arizona.

 

 

ASU LAS VEGAS BOWL SCENARIO

 

USC to Rose Bowl, Oregon to Holiday Bowl, Oregon State to Sun Bowl. Either California/Stanford winner or potentially Arizona/Arizona State winner.

 

 

ASU EMERALD BOWL SCENARIO

 

The Emerald Bowl simply gets whatever Pac-10 bowl eligible team is left. From the looks of it, that will more than likely be Arizona or California. It could be Oregon if they’re not selected to return to the Sun Bowl. And it could potentially be Stanford if they were to beat Cal, or ASU if they win out.

 

 

ASU HAWAII BOWL SCENARIO

 

The Hawaii Bowl would get the sixth eligible team from the Pac-10, which could be Arizona if they lose out, or ASU or UCLA, if they win out. Stanford could also slide here.

 

 

UCLA Bruins (3-4, 4-6)

 

Remaining games at Arizona State and against USC.

 

 

UCLA HAWAII BOWL SCENARIO

 

The Hawaii Bowl would get the sixth eligible team from the Pac-10, which could be Arizona if they lose out, or ASU or UCLA, if they win out. Stanford could also slide here.

 

 

 

Paul’s Picks, as of November 21, 2008:

 

Bowl

Pac-10 Team

Opponent

Rose

USC

Penn State

Holiday

Oregon

Missouri

Sun

California

Nebraska

Las Vegas

Oregon State

BYU

Emerald

Arizona

Wake Forest

Hawaii

Non Pac-10

Hawaii

 

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