The first base position has always been deep for fantasy purposes, so it is no surprise to see so many common names in the top-10.
The two big newcomers from a season ago are Eric Hosmer and Michael Morse. Hosmer was a top prospect and proved that he can put up numbers at the big-league level. His athletic ability should allow his to steal more bases, which is an uncommon stat for a first baseman.
Morse was a breakout candidate at the beginning of the year who enjoyed a very productive season. Look for more of the same from him in the middle of a young, maturing Washington offensive line-up.
1. Joey Votto - .317/37/118/110/9 - Votto's power numbers should rise a little bit in 2012 due to his Isolated Power improving slightly. His BABIP is high at .359, but it is close to his career average and does not look likely to change.
2. Albert Pujols - .311/37/119/112/6 - I have Votto barely edging out Pujols in the rankings. The main reason is age and the injuries Pujols suffered through this year. He will be 32 at the beginning of the 2012 season, but really should not slow down too much.
3. Adrian Gonzalez - .313/31/122/111/0 - Adrian Gonzalez was always one of my favorite players, and I never thought that he got the recognition that he deserved. Now, in Boston, I think people are really starting to catch on. I see a dip in average from 2011 due to his enormous .380 BABIP.
4. Miguel Cabrera - .316/30/109/103/4 - Has been very consistent over his major league career, I don't see any reason for it to stop next year.
5. Prince Fielder - .296/34/111/92/0 - Fielder can have hot streaks that rival any player in the league. His power numbers have been a little erratic over the years, but always good. Whether this contract-year proves an aberration remains to be seen. Count on him to easily hit 30+ home runs and 100+ runs batted in with his new team, which should be a World Series contender.
6. Ryan Howard - .262/38/121/94/0 - I think that Howard will always hit for power, but as the years go by his average is going to keep dropping as it has over the past three.
7. Mark Teixiera - .278/33/117/99/2 - His dip in batting average since 2008 is due to an ever-decreasing BABIP. I think that he raises this up next year, but never gets it back to what it was.
8. Eric Hosmer - .291/26/92/84/15 - I watched Hosmer in spring training and absolutely loved the guy. He is athletic and can hit for average and power. His ability to steal bases at the first base position slides him into the top-10.
9. Michael Morse - .303/26/93/82/1 - The Washington Nationals offense is actually pretty impressive, and a major part of their revival is the emergence of Morse.
10. Paul Konerko - .299/28/100/72/0 - I don't know why, but I wanted to keep Konerko off of the top-10. The problem is, when I look at his numbers I think that he has quietly earned the right to be here. Numbers should start declining in the coming years with age.