Oakland Raiders: What's Going on in Preseason 2011?

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Oakland Raiders: What's Going on in Preseason 2011?
OAKLAND, CA - AUGUST 11: Oakland Raiders head coach Hue Jackson watches his team play the Arizona Cardinals at O.co Coliseum on August 11, 2011 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

Before conclusions are drawn, we need to put things in context. For example, this writer looked at the point difference of games in 2010 and compared them to the point difference of the three preseason games of 2011.

Observations

In the three preseason games of 2011, the Oakland Raiders have the following scores

Oakland      Opponents

18               24

3                 17

20                40

A point difference of -6 is not bad, but when the differences are double digits, then there is a concern.

In 2010 there were three games that the Raiders loss and the differences were double digits.

As we look at the pattern of differences, we see that there were four times when the Raiders won and the point differences were double digits and positive.

There were three games with close results, which makes the Raiders look decent in those competitive games.

If we try to describe the pattern in this performance, we see inconsistencies. We see violent fluctuations.

In fact, the only time there was a display of consistency was at the phenomenal victory over the Broncos and the two subsequent games. During that period the scores were:

Oakland     Opponent

59              14

33               3

23               20

The times when the Oakland Raiders had large double digit differences indicating poor performance were the first game of 2010, the game immediately after bye week and the second game after bye week.

Two weeks prior to making an outstanding statement by defeating the Broncos in 2010, the Raiders had a "yo-yo" performance of up eight, and then down eight. In other words, the Raiders won a game, lost a game and then won a fantastic game by defeating the Broncos.

One observation that can definitely be made is that the team is not stabilized yet. The coach needs to really learn his team, and the players must learn more about each other on the playing field.

The trend so far during preseason is downward. The point difference for the first preseason game was -6. The second game had a -14. The third game had a -20.

What's going on? What will it take to stop the downward trend? What will it take to get back to performing as they did in 2010 when they had three consecutive wins?

Finally, look at the data and tell us what you see.

Oakland Opponent PtDif Comment
13 38 -25    
16 18 2 close  
23 24 -1 close  
24 31 -7    
35 27 8    
9 17 -8    
59 14 45 outstanding
33 3 30 outstanding
23 20 3    
17 33 -16    
28 13 15 outstanding
31 38 -7    
39 23 16 outstanding
26 31 -5    
31 10 21 outstanding
         
18 24 -6    
3 17 -14    
20 40 -20    

Believe it or not, the data does tell us a portion of the story. At this point, consistency is what is needed from both the coaches and the players.

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