Mitch's Week 12 College Football Picks: Part Four

Mitch WilsonSenior Writer INovember 13, 2008

We know every game in college football means a lot, but the games are starting to mean even more as teams look to position themselves for bowl games.

Sadly enough, there aren't a lot of weeks left in the regular season, but there is still plenty of football to be played. Jordan and I have really been pumping out the picks and write-ups this week, and we'll be doing the same later today for the free newsletter, featuring more picks that aren't featured anywhere else on the site.

It's all free and it also gets you entered in the free picking contest, which has been a lot of fun, and I think we can safely declare it a success even though we didn't get it started until late in the season.

The chat room is continuing to gain momentum during games, and it's a great chance to chat with other college football fans from all around the country about either the games that are on or whatever else you feel like. You can come and go as you want and share information and ask questions and opinions of others. We have had a growing number with each game, and I think it will continue to grow.

It's open during games and all day Saturday, though I am thinking maybe we can schedule other times to discuss some strategy for upcoming games as well. It's all to whatever everyone wants.

In any event, we have some games to pick.


Cincinnati -4 at Louisville (Friday, Nov. 14, 8 EST): 7 out of 10

If Louisville plays the way they have played the bulk of this season and Cincinnati plays the way they have played the bulk of this season, this could be a really ugly beatdown.

The Bearcats are a physical and athletic bunch, and while I did pick them to win the Big East this year, they have had a few moments where I have doubted them, especially the UConn game. While most of those points they lost by were scored in the last minutes, much like the Bearcats' trip to Norman, it showed me that UC has the ability to stumble and stumble badly.

Louisville, though, is on the opposite end, where they make a habit out of stumbling badly and occasionally throw up a decent effort to try to fool us for next time out. We're done drinking the Cardinal Kool-Aid for 2008.

While Tony Pike has done a nice job for the Bearcats after really being tagged as the third or fourth QB, Hunter Cantwell has been a major disappointment for Louisville as he looks confused and even scared in the pocket at times. I think Cincinnati's surge from the middle of its DL, led by All-American Terrell Byrd, will give Cantwell plenty of good reason to actually be scared.

While the favorite is 8-3 against the spread in the last 11 in this series and the road team is 7-1 against the spread in the last eight in this series, Louisville still has a lot of advantages in the trends. The Cardinals have covered in eight of their last 10 against Cincinnati and are 5-1 against the spread in their last six home games against teams with a winning record.

While Louisville absolutely needs this one if they want to be sure to get a bowl berth, we are at the time of the season where the really good teams make a statement. I think the Bearcats make their claim to the Big East title and show the world their identity as a hard-hitting, tough-nosed football team.

Go here to see the rest of Mitch's Week 12, Part Four College Football picks against the spread.