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The AL Central is the closest race, as the leading Detroit Tigers only have a 2.5 game lead as of this writing. It’s also the only division with more than two teams in the running (Cleveland is in second, and the White Sox trail the Indians by 1.5 games), which is what gives it the slight edge in excitement. It is worth noting, however, that the overall quality of the baseball is dragging a little: the Indians are the only team in the division that hasn’t been outscored by opponents, and even that’s only by two runs.
The White Sox are the only one of the three facing a contender out of the division, with one series against Texas left. That, combined with their .500 record, probably leaves them third in the division as of this moment. The other important series include three three-game sets between the Indians and Tigers, three series totaling nine games between the White Sox and Indians, and two White Sox-Tigers series totaling seven games.
BP (63.1) and Cool Standings (53.6) like the Tigers as the favorites. Cool Standings puts the Indians second, with a 32.4 percent chance of making the postseason, while BP puts them third at 12.0. The White Sox are obviously the exact opposites, with 24.6 percent odds on BP and 14 percent odds on Cool Standings. None of the three are near the Wild Card, so it’s the division or bust for these teams.
With no clear front runner and a plethora of inter-division games left, this is clearly the most exciting raceleft (even if none of the teams can score more than their opponents).
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