BCS Nightmare May Come True

Bob Zen by Contributor Written on November 09, 2008
Bcs_feature

I'm looking at the rest of the schedule and see an interesting scenario creeping up on us.  There are plenty of scenarios out there, but I'm going with this one because I can see some people going ape when it happens.

We will start with the SEC.  Let's say Florida loses to South Carolina. It's possible. Spurrier is getting his team cranked up and they are one of the few teams out there with a defense who could slow Florida down.

Now, an embarrassed Meyer and Co. go to the SEC Championship game and beat Bama by 20+.  With that, your No. 1 has just lost to a two-loss Florida by a bunch.  Now on to the rest of the world.

Texas Tech and Texas win out, Texas in strong fashion.  USC and Penn State win out but USC plays even one average game. 

Given USC's schedule, it is possible for them to play down to any of their last three opponents.  They don't have to lose, mind you, just play average. 

You can't objectively put either USC or Penn State over Texas, who is already ahead of them and playing better than they are against a MUCH stronger SOS. 

Just for grins, and to keep them from messing up my plans, Utah goes down to BYU.  It may even be more fun to keep them as a BCS fly in the ointment.  Your choice.

So, here you are at the end of the season.  You've kept Texas near the top of the BCS, and you're stuck with that.  You've got a few very hard choices to make to avoid putting Texas Tech and Texas in the BCS game. 

You either only drop Bama one place, even though they've played some less-than- stellar games against an unusually easy SEC schedule and just lost to Florida.

You jump USC over Texas, or you hold your nose and jump Penn St. over USC and Texas.  If you wanted to keep Utah undefeated, then you can look at that case, too, and say you could jump them over everyone. After all, they did go undefeated. 

No matter what happens, every team that gets left out has a valid argument.  USC won their conference, as did Penn State.  Texas was at the top and played some incredible football this year.  Utah was undefeated.  Bama only lost one game was ranked at the top of the BCS, but didn't win their championship.

To be honest, I'd much rather see Florida or Bama in the Championship game against the Big 12, but it would be worth it just to see ESPN trying to figure out who they want to pump up after the conference championship weekend.  Talk about some high quality TV.

So there it is.  What are your thoughts?  There are several other scenarios out there that are equally intriguing.  This was mine.

 

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written on November 09, 2008 Preview/Prediction

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