College Football Rankings: Oregon, OU and 25 Teams That Won't Win It All

By (Featured Columnist) on July 31, 2011

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This is not your ordinary list of preseason top 25 teams.

While most of them, if not all, are included in most top 25 polls, these teams made this list for another reason...they won't win the BCS National Championship.

Some of them will make the BCS, win their conference or even go undefeated, but none of the teams listed will win that crystal ball come January.

So if you are a fan of one of these squads, you may want to think twice before buying those tickets to New Orleans...

25. Pitt Panthers

CINCINNATI, OH - DECEMBER 04:  Tino Sunseri #12 of the Pittsburgh Panthers looks to the sidelines during the Big East Conference game against the Cincinnati Bearcats at Nippert Stadium on December 4, 2010 in Cincinnati, Ohio.  Pittsburgh won 28-10.  (Phot
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

New head coach Todd Graham was the genius behind Tulsa's explosive offenses in recent years.

While Tino Sunseri is no Dan Marino, he should flourish in Graham's offense.

The transition from the oversimplified offense Pitt has been running to Graham's complicated schemes will mean trouble for the Panthers.

Couple learning a new offensive system with a less than solid defensive unit learning a new system, and Pitt will have all kinds of trouble in the first half of the season.

They may pull it together in Big East play, but not soon enough to avoid at least two losses.

24. Auburn Tigers

AUBURN, AL - NOVEMBER 06:  Coach Gene Chizik of the Auburn Tigers watches warmups before play against the Chattanooga Mocs November 6, 2010 at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama.  (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)
Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images

No Cam Newton + No Nick Fairley = Big Trouble for Auburn.

It's not that the Tigers have no remaining talent, but the competition will be stiff, and Cam Newton's transcendent quarterback play will be missed.

Road trips to South Carolina, Clemson, Arkansas, LSU and Georgia pave the way for the Tigers, and they will lose at least three of those games.

It was fun while it lasted, right?

23. Michigan Wolverines

ANN ARBOR, MI - APRIL 16:  Head football coach Brady Hoke talks with Denard Robinson #16 during the annual Spring Game at Michigan Stadium on April 16, 2011 in Ann Arbor, Michigan.  (Photo by Leon Halip/Getty Images)
Leon Halip/Getty Images

Many Wolverine fans are pretty reasonable people, but for the bunch of you that think they are going to take the newly re-aligned Big Ten by storm, think again.

The Wolverines obviously have some very talented guys on both sides of the ball.

However, they will need time to adjust to the new offense especially.

Expect some improvement right away, but any shot at a title game is still a few years down the road...

22. Texas Longhorns

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Don't start painting your kids' room burnt orange just yet.

The Longhorns are still a long way from respectable.

A secondary that has no experience, an awful offensive line and a less-than-consistent quarterback make these guys one of the closest things to a lock not to win the championship you can find...

21. Florida Gators

GAINESVILLE, FL - APRIL 9:  Offensive coordinator Charlie Weis of the Florida Gators directs play with quarterback John Bantley #12 during the Orange and Blue spring football game April 9, 2011 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida.  (Photo
Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images

Can you list one good reason the Gators will win their division of the SEC?

It's not likely; they will have a tough time beating out Georgia and South Carolina.

Now, factor in their games against 'Bama, LSU and Florida State, a new system and an offensive line that blocks like a high school line, and their chances drop to precisely nil...

20. Miami Hurricanes

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The Hurricanes are undoubtedly one of the most athletic teams in the country.

They have explosive playmakers on both sides of the ball and a coach who can help them form a cohesive unit.

So what's to stop them?

Jacory Harris.

The 'Canes incumbent starter has never quite lived up to expectations, and his accuracy issues are well-documented.

Should the 'Canes find some consistency at QB, there chances raise exponentially, but until then, they are as likely to win a title as Western Kentucky.

19. Ohio State Buckeyes

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Contrary to popular belief, just because a writer does not pick the Buckeyes to win it all, does not mean they are insane, incompetent or otherwise impaired.

OSU has talent, sure, but not much experience.

Several starters are gone from the defense, and of course, Terrelle Pryor and Jim Tressel will be noticeably absent.

Expect the Buckeyes to lose a game or two they shouldn't while sneaking out an upset over one of their top-rated foes in Columbus...

18. Georgia Bulldogs

JACKSONVILLE, FL - OCTOBER 30:  Trey Burton #8 of the Florida Gators is tackled by Bacarri Rambo#18 of the Georgia Bulldogs during the game at EverBank Field on October 30, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

This is nuts.

Anyone who believes the Bulldogs are a great team needs a head examination, STAT.

They will proceed through the season, possibly even winning their division of the SEC.

Should they get to the SEC Championship Game, they will be exposed, but it's doubtful they get that far.

Too many questions, playing against competition that is too difficult...

17. Michigan State Spartans

STATE COLLEGE, PA - NOVEMBER 27: Head coach Mark Dantonio of the Michigan State Spartans stands on the sideline during a game against the Penn State Nittany Lions on November 27, 2010 at Beaver Stadium in State College, Pennsylvania. The Spartans won 28-2
Hunter Martin/Getty Images

The Spartans are going to be extremely tough on offense, but won't score enough to keep their defense out of trouble.

The losses of Eric Gordon and Greg Jones are going to be huge, and a suspect secondary will have a tough time against some of the more efficient Big Ten offenses.

Kirk Cousins and Co. will win the Spartans some games, but an undefeated season is nothing but a pipe dream.

16. Oklahoma State Cowboys

STILLWATER, OK - NOVEMBER 27:  Quarterback Brandon Weeden #3 of the Oklahoma State Cowboys walks off the field after failing to make a first down against the Oklahoma Sooners at Boone Pickens Stadium on November 27, 2010 in Stillwater, Oklahoma.  (Photo b
Tom Pennington/Getty Images

If football games were decided solely by the offense's performance, the Cowboys would go undefeated this season.

Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon form a formidable duo in the passing game, and the 'Pokes will put up bunches of points in a hurry.

Unfortunately for them, they have to play defense as well.

The secondary should be solid, but the problem is that the weaknesses in the front seven are going to leave the them exposed in the passing game.

While the Cowboys are definitely a talented, dangerous team, other teams in the Big 12 are just more balanced and will find ways to exploit the 'Pokes' defensive weaknesses.

15. West Virginia Mountaineers

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The Big East is lame.

There is no way around it, they are just not on the same level as the rest of the BCS conferences.

That being said, the cream of the Big East crop is West Virginia.

Dana Holgorsen is going to work wonders with an already dangerous offense, and Geno Smith may sneak in as a Heisman candidate if the chips fall the right way.

While the Mountaineers have been very good defensively over the past four seasons, they lost 2-star linemen and three solid guys from the secondary.

With an early season matchup against LSU looming large, the Mountaineers have very little time to plug the holes and become a cohesive defensive unit.

14. Arizona State Sun Devils

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This may seem like an obvious point to some, but many are swallowing the hype hook, line and sinker.

While the Devils have a great shot at winning the Pac-12 South, their chances of escaping the conference unscathed are very small.

They must travel to Eugene this season to battle the Ducks, and that will turn out to be their Achilles' heel.

Although an early season matchup with Mizzou looms large and could derail their title shot early, it's more likely they fall at Oregon.

If the offense sputters at times like it did last season, this squad won't even make the conference title game, much less an NCG.

13. TCU Horned Frogs

ALBUQUERQUE, NM - NOVEMBER 27: Ed Wesley #34 of the TCU Horned Frogs runs against the University of New Mexico Lobos on November 27, 2010 at University Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. TCU won 66-17. (Photo by Eric Draper/Getty Images)
Eric Draper/Getty Images

Gary Patterson has elevated the Frogs' status to perennial powerhouse.

While they should once again enjoy a measure of success in '11, it won't be to the tune of another undefeated season and a trip to the NCG.

They just lost too much.

Casey Pachall may have the tools and talent to replace Andy Dalton, but does he have the leadership skills?

And will he be able to weather the storm of hits he is going to take, with two All-American offensive lineman gone and only one returning starter on the line?

That remains to be seen, but you can be sure even the talented Ed Wesley and a solid group of running backs won't be able to take the Frogs to an undefeated season.

12. BYU Cougars

FORT WORTH, TX - OCTOBER 16:  Quarterback Jake Heaps #9 of the Brigham Young University Cougars throws a pass against the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs at Amon G. Carter Stadium on October 16, 2010 in Fort Worth, Texas.  (Photo by Tom Pennington
Tom Pennington/Getty Images

To some of you this might not be news, but the Cougars are not going to the NCG.

Four returning starters to the offensive line, as well as their leading rusher, receiver and quarterback are all returning.

The defense is also returning Eathyn Manumaleuna and Matt Putnam to a solid defensive line, and should be extremely difficult to move the ball against.

Coach Mendenhall has his newly independent program headed in the right direction, but even if they manage an undefeated season (that's a big "if"), they will not hop over BCS schools with only one loss in the rankings...

11. Any C-USA Team

PASADENA, CA - SEPTEMBER 18:  Quarterback Case Keenum #7 of the Houston Cougars at the game against the UCLA Bruins in the second quarter at the Rose Bowl on September 18, 2010 in Pasadena, California.  UCLA won 31-13.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images
Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

Also worth noting, C-USA has several has several teams that could be ranked at some point this season.

UCF, East Carolina, SMU, Houston and Southern Miss are all very talented squads, and almost any other season it might be tempting to pick one of them to make it through the season unscathed.

This season, with the depth and quality in the conference, none of those teams has even a slim shot at being a BCS-buster.

10. South Carolina Gamecocks

ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 31:  Stephen Garcia #5 of the South Carolina Gamecocks against the Florida State Seminoles during the 2010 Chick-fil-A Bowl at Georgia Dome on December 31, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

Forgive me, Gamecock faithful, I have little faith in your squad.

Though the original USC has some explosive talent to throw at opposition on the field, the offensive line still has some huge questions, and the best adjective that can be used to describe quarterback Stephen Garcia is "mercurial."

The defense will be deep, but somewhat inexperienced, and last season they were downright awful some games, getting burnt for over 37 points per game in their losses.

While they might pull out another SEC East division crown, a conference title will be difficult and their inconsistent play will leave them short of a BCS title berth.

On the bright side, we get another season of Steve Spurrier's comments...

9. Penn State Nittany Lions

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Linebacker Michael Mauti back from injury leads a very talented group of 'backers, and JoePa appears to be in the best of health after his appearance at the conference's media days.

Too many questions abound, however, for the Lions.

Especially at quarterback.

There have been flashes of talent at the position, but no real leadership.

The secondary is solid, but that may be cancelled out by the play of a line that has more injuries this season than most squads have in a decade.

While the Lions will challenge Wisconsin and Ohio State for their Big Ten division title, they will not make the BCS...

8.Texas A&M Aggies

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Mike Sherman has put together an intriguing squad with a real shot at the Big 12 title.

Cyrus Gray and Christine Michael headline an explosive running game, with Ryan Tannenhill leading from the QB position.

Expect this squad to put up points.

However, with the absolute parity within the Big 12, there is no way the Aggies escape conference play unscathed, and they have a very scary matchup with Arkansas early in the season that could trip them up.

7. Stanford Cardinal

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The Cardinal are going to be a solid team with a great shot at a BCS berth, no doubt about it.

The offensive line, while not quite as dominating as last season, should be able to keep Andrew Luck upright long enough to do serious damage in the passing game.

Luck also has a serious deep threat in receiver Chris Owusu that was not available last season.

The Cardinal are going to find that they miss coach Harbaugh, however, along with defensive co-ordinator Vic Fangio, and replacing nosetackle Sione Fua will be a chore.

While it's plausible that Stanford could make it to the Rose Bowl, an undefeated season will be too much to ask.

6. Virginia Tech Hokies

Beamer

The Hokies have been the model of consistency for the past decade.

Since 2000, they have done one thing consistently...miss the NCG.

They will once again have a solid defense and special teams, and Logan Thomas and David Wilson lead a retooled offense, but the ACC is as wide open a conference as there is.

The conference schedule is paved with talented squads that could trip up Beamer's boys.

The road to the BCS lies through Florida State for the Hokies, and that talent will be too much for them...

5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

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The hype for Notre Dame has once again reached ridiculous levels in the 2011 preseason rankings.

Most of it is deserved, with a deep and talented defense and several weapons on offense.

The Irish, however, have some tough road trips in their schedule that will prove to be the end of their national championship dreams.

Trips to Pitt, Stanford and Michigan will all be difficult tests, and hosting Michigan State and USC will be no walk in the park.

A BCS bowl is a solid bet, just not the BCS Championship game.

4. Oregon Ducks

GLENDALE, AZ - JANUARY 10: LaMichael James #21 and Darron Thomas #1 of the Oregon Ducks react to the Auburn Tigers during the Tostitos BCS National Championship Game at University of Phoenix Stadium on January 10, 2011 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Jona
Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images

This one is all about the attrition.

Two top flight wide receivers and three offensive linemen are going to be tough for Chip Kelly to replace.

On top of that, the Ducks must deal with swirling rumors and a road trip to visit Stanford, as well as a Week 1 date with LSU.

The biggest concern is definitely the offensive line, where the rotation is going to be somewhat inexperienced due to the aforementioned graduations and two guys retiring due to injury.

A Pac-12 title and Rose Bowl game is the best the Ducks should be hoping for at this point.

3. Alabama Crimson TIde

TUSCALOOSA, AL - OCTOBER 02:  Mark Barron #4 of the Alabama Crimson Tide against the Florida Gators at Bryant-Denny Stadium on October 2, 2010 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

Yes, Alabama fans, the Tide have done this before with pleasant results.

They threw an unproven QB on the field and won the NCG.

However, in your assumption that the Tide are the greatest thing to happen to college football every year, you forget that this is the exception rather than the rule, especially in a brutally competitive SEC.

Replacing a championship-winning quarterback, a Heisman-winning running back and a top flight receiver may seem like peanuts to you, but trust me, it's not.

The Tide may not lose three games, but two is a very distinct possibility, and that will be enough to keep them out of the BCS Championship game.

2. Boise State Broncos

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Chris Petersen is undoubtedly one of the best coaches in the country.

He has developed the Broncos into a BCS contender and force to be reckoned with.

However, with their recent move to the MWC, their level of competition has gone up.

Air Force and San Diego State are far more talented than Utah State and La. Tech.

The Broncos will find that the competition gives them at least two losses, leaving them out of the BCS party once more.

1. Oklahoma Sooners

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Yeah, yeah, preseason No. 1 and all that.

But the Sooners have seemed to struggle under pressure the last few seasons.

There was that painful loss to Texas Tech courtesy of Michael Crabtree and also that one-point loss to BYU.

While the Sooners have an incredibly talented team, they have a penchant for losing big games.

Last season they succumbed to the pressure of one week atop the polls at Missouri, and I can assure you that a trip to Tallahassee is at least as scary as that road trip.

The questions at defensive tackle will bite the Sooners, especially against squads like Missouri, Florida State and Texas A&M.

OU is in for at least one loss this season, keeping them out of the title game.

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