POINT SPREAD AND PICKS FOR WEEK 10 GAMES
Denver Broncos @ Cleveland Browns (-3)
Denver has all the tools to win this game, and it should clearly go over the 48-point total, considering just how badly these two defenses play. Neither one can stop the run, and while Cleveland is slowly putting together a pretty solid secondary, they’re still prone to mental mistakes, which Shanahan and Cutler should capitalize on.
Cleveland’s defense as a whole really should be better than this, considering the pieces that are in place, but they don’t seem to be getting enough pressure up front. If Shaun Rogers continues what he’s done his whole career, and we’ve seen flashes of that the past few weeks, Cleveland can win.
However, the Broncos should be able to mark up enough QB pressures and sacks to get into the head of Anderson and the extremely soft receiving corps of the Cleveland Browns.
Denver Wins Outright 31-24.
Jacksonville Jaguars (-6) @ Detroit Lions
Let the Daunte Culpepper experiment begin. Calvin Johnson is good enough to just go up and get it, much like Moss did in Minnesota, but unless Detroit can find a running game, they wont be able to hang in many games.
Jacksonville looks lost, and the frustration is starting to show through. Jack Del Rio is a solid coach, and he should be able to motivate the guys in the trenches well enough to tear off a nice little win streak at some point during the season. While Cleveland gave Jacksonville fits, and Detroit is just a slightly lesser version of Cleveland’s predictable pass attack, Jacksonville was still in that game until the last play.
The Jaguars will come together and win this game by the halfway point of the third quarter.
Jacksonville covers the six and wins 27 – 17
Tennessee Titans (-3) @ Chicago Bears
To beat the Titans, you’re going to require a squad that has a smart QB, a smart LB corps, and a half-decent running game. Right now, it's up in the air as to who will start for the Bears at QB (it looks like Orton’s out for four weeks, so it’ll be Grossman), but it doesn’t particularly matter.
Neither Grossman nor Orton have the patience or the ability to progress through their reads at supersonic speed without making the big mistakes. Chicago’s run game and defense will keep this close, and with their LBs, they may be able to at test the patience of the Titans.
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