As mentioned before, the Indians will fall out of the race despite their young talent. The division will once again come down to Minnesota, Chicago and Detroit.
For the first two months of the season, the Twins were in the cellar of the entire major league, but Ron Gardenhire, as always, pulled them back to within six and a half games of the Tigers at the break.
While Jim Leyland and Ozzie Guillen often have trouble winning in the second half, Gardenhire is the opposite. He always gets his team to win when they need to, no matter what. The difference this year, however, will be the injuries and inconsistencies of Joe Mauer, Justin Morneau and the entire pitching staff. Gardenhire will do what he can, but the team this season does not seem as dominant as in the past. It will surrender their crown to either the White Sox or Tigers.
Chicago and Detroit will be the final two fighting for the Central Division, and the teams are equal when it comes to talent. Adam Dunn should be able to produce more for Chicago and give them an offensive boost. (It's not like he can do much worse.)
Detroit, on the other hand, is riding stars Justin Verlander and Miguel Cabrera as well as a dominating record against the Sox in recent meetings and a five-game lead over Chicago at the break. I do not see Jhonny Peralta and Alex Avila staying as consistent as they have been. If the Tigers can add a legitimate left-handed starter as well as a decent second baseman and avoid falling into another second-half slump, they should have what it takes to win the division.