It’s still extremely early, but let’s take a look at a few player’s ADP (ADP numbers are as of July 8 and come courtesy of Mock Draft Central):
Shonn Greene – Running Back – New York Jets
ADP: 63.00 (RB No. 27)
A year ago he was considered a potential first round draft pick, now he’s not even being selected as a RB2? Really?!
Was the presence of LaDainian Tomlinson taking some carries that great to cause fantasy owners to lose this much faith in him? Let’s get real, he’s being drafted right around Marshawn Lynch.
Obviously, he disappointed in 2010, though he did manage 766 yards on 185 carries. Still, Tomlinson is now a year older and will likely not play as big of a role in the offense.
He’s now 32 years old and we saw his productivity suffer as the year went on. After rushing for at least 60 yards in each of the first five games, Tomlinson failed to surpass 57 yards from Week 6 forward.
With Tomlinson’s presence reducing, you would expect Greene to take on a much bigger role (especially in the red zone). I actually wouldn’t mind having Greene as my second back, but if I can get him in the fifth round I’d consider it an absolute steal.
Matthew Stafford – Quarterback – Detroit Lions
ADP: 104.75 (QB No. 11)
What exactly has he proven to justify selecting him before Eli Manning (107.97), Matt Ryan (111.08) and Joe Flacco (111.17)? Does having Calvin Johnson to throw the ball to increase his value that much?
I don’t think so. The guys he’s going before have just as much, if not more upside, and have already shown success. Stafford, meanwhile, has played in just 13 games over his first two seasons.
Sure, he showed talent in his three games last season (535 yards, six TD, one INT), but I’d much rather go with someone who has a proven track record at this point and look for the upside later on.
Kenny Britt – Wide Receiver – Tennessee Titians
ADP: 56.28 (WR No. 22)
Maybe once we know who is going to be the Titans quarterback my opinion may change a bit. At this point, after Kerry Collins announced his retirement, Jake Locker would likely be the starter if the season started today.
Obviously, they will likely add a veteran, but until we see who it is there is a bit of a question mark hanging over him (as does the potential holdout of Chris Johnson, which would put more pressure on the passing game).
If that wasn’t enough, Britt has also been dealing with significant off-the-field issues. Even on the field, he managed just 42 catches for 775 yards in 2010 (though he did have nine TD).
He showed how good he could be in Week 7 (seven receptions, 225 yards, three TD) and had at least 85 yards in each of the final three games.
Still, there are way too many concerns right now for me to trust him as my number two wide receiver.
What are your thoughts on where these three players are being drafted?
Make sure to check out the early rankings from Rotoprofessor: