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Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5 (-110) - Sunday, November 2nd ‘08 1:00p
We are not normally in the habit of laying more than a touchdown on the road, especially with a team that we generally feel is overrated like the Jacksonville Jaguars, but we feel this is a great situation to do so vs. the winless Cincinnati Bengals. After a great season last year, the Jaguars may be the biggest disappointment in the league to this point at just 3-4. The offense has been inconsistent, and even the defense is allowing more points (21.6 per game) than usual. Quarterback David Garrard has lost the magic after a breakthrough year in 2007, throwing just six touchdown passes while averaging a very low 6.85 yard per pass attempt and owning a very modest 86.6 passer rating. The running game is averaging a respectable 116.0 yards per game on 4.1 yards per rush, but those numbers are also way down from last season. So why are we showing the love for the Jaguars this week? Well, this is simply a must game for Jacksonville, as their playoff chances would be totally shot of they fall to 3-5, so they should be focused from start to finish. Plus, is their a better team they can be facing when they need to step up than the Bengals? Cincinnati is 0-8, and ever since shutting down Carson Palmer for the season, the Bengals have gotten progressively worse, first losing to the New York Jets by 12 points, then to the Pittsburgh Steelers by 28 and then to the Houston Texans by 29 last week. Now we realize that winless teams have historically been a great bet at this point of the season, but most of those games have not been vs. desperate teams trying to save their season. Look for the Jaguars to establish Taylor and James-Drew on the ground vs. a soft Cincinnati front, setting thing up for Garrard to have some success in the air and leading to a much needed romp. NFL Free Pick: Jaguars -7.5 - (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits
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