The Blue Jays have had little to no luck against Tim Wakefield. Aaron Hill would remain the only possible start for this one. Hill is hitting .286 in 35 at-bats against the Boston starter. Otherwise, look to avoid Toronto players where you can. Adam Lind is 2-for-13 while Jose Bautista checks in hitless in nine at-bats.
The Red Sox have LIT UP Ricky Romero. David Ortiz is 10-for-23 while J.D. Drew is even 11-for-22. Scutaro, Youkilis, and Jacoby Ellsbury all check in better than .300 against the lefty in at least 10 at-bats. Dustin Pedroia at .538 in 13 at-bats is the big winner for Boston. Basically, get your Red Sox in the lineup for this one.
Lance Berkman is a .280 hitter with five home runs in 50 at-bats against Bronson Arroyo. Matt Holliday and Skip Schumaker are both better than .300 against the Cincinnati starter while Jon Jay is 4-for-10. Colby Rasmus has two home runs and a .292 average in 24 at-bats. Arroyo may be 4-1 on the road, but he has a 5.72 ERA and .333 BAA in those outings.
Some good numbers from the usual suspects in Philadelphia against Anibal Sanchez. Jimmy Rollins and Ryan Howard are must starts and Chase Utley is a .464 hitter against him. Placido Polanco is 7-for-15 with two home runs. All good numbers here. Sanchez has struck out 14 Phillies in 13 innings against them this season to go with a 2.77 ERA in that stretch.
Jason Vargas already has four nine-inning, no runs allowed performances this season, all of which have come in his last ten starts and two of them in his last three. The A's have very limited numbers against the Seattle starter, and that should be even more reason to get him on the mound in this one. He is still under 24 percent owned and that means there is value to be had. Spot start of the day here.
Bud Norris has still struck out 110 batters in his 105 innings this season, giving him value in that category every time he steps on the mound. Still, rough numbers on the road, making him a tough start here. Norris has an ERA at 5.29 away from home (nearly three runs worse than at home) and a 1-3 record. McCutchen, Jones, and Neil Walker all hit better than .310 against Norris.
Odd to note that Charlie Morton has had the opposite problem as Norris. He cannot get anyone out at home. Morton is 2-3 at home with a 4.43 ERA (5-1, 3.00 on the road). While Hunter Pence is just 3-for-15, Michael Bourn is at .412 in 17 at-bats and Carlos Lee is 6-for-18.
Jake Westbrook finally put up good numbers in his last outing against Tampa. He had allowed 12 earned runs in his prior 16.1 innings pitched. Westbrook has been torched at home, posting an ERA over 6.00 in eight starts there this season. No major numbers to report in this one that could be of help, but Brandon Phillips is 4-for-9.
Geovany Soto is 7-for-11 with a home run and five RBI against Washington starter and former teammate Tom Gorzelanny. Aramis Ramirez is 2-for-17 while Alfonso Soriano has struggled to a .222 mark in 18 at-bats against him as well.
Spot Starts: Wakefield, Vargas, Hughes (first start off the DL, widely available)
When Jack Cust's .290 average is the highest against you, you know you have done some damage against a team. Jered Weaver has that going for him. Ichiro is hitting .262 with a home run in 61 at-bats while both Figgins and Kennedy are 4-for-18. No help from the 3-for-20 of Justin Smoak or the .208 mark of Franklin Gutierrez.
The Cardinals have made it clear that Kyle McClellan will not be moved to the bullpen, but there is not much to like for fantasy owners right now. He has been shelled in each of his last two outings, yielding a combined 10 earned runs in 11 innings of work. McClellan had been good at home, but has been torched in two of his last three starts even there. Since lowering his ERA to 3.11 on May 24th, it has risen better than a full run in his last five starts.
Rickie Weeks and Prince Fielder have done the most damage against Homer Bailey, but the whole team has enjoyed facing him. Weeks is 8-for-15, good for a .533 mark. Fielder checks in at 5-for-14. Even Casey McGehee gets into the act at .333 in 15 at-bats. No concerns about starting your normal Brewers in this matchup.
Though the numbers are slightly limited, Niemann has done a solid job at holding the Yankees in check. Mark Teixeira is only 2-for-11 while Nick Swisher is 2-for-12. Curtis Granderson and Robinson Cano have one and two hits respectively against Niemann, each doing so in 10 at-bats. Jeter's continued quest for 3,000 hits could get a boost given his 5-for-9 mark against the Tampa starter.
Paul Konerko and A.J. Pierzynski are your best options against Carl Pavano. Konerko is hitting .344 in 32 at-bats and adds three home runs to the mix. Pierzynski checks in at .379. Gordon Beckham at .353 in 17 at-bats and Juan Pierre at .333 in 21 are the only other regulars north of .300. Be careful with Alex Rios and Alexei Ramirez. Both have more than 20 at-bats and sub-.240 averages against the righty.
Time for everyone to once agains get excited about Rich Harden. The Oakland starter is ready for his second appearance since returning from the DL. If healthy, he adds strikeouts and nice peripheral numbers. That is a big "if" though. Adrian Beltre is just 2-for-13 against Harden and Michael Young is at .258 in 31 at-bats against the righty.
Aramis Ramirez has raked against Livan Hernandez. Ramirez is a .364 hitter in 33 at-bats against Hernandez and has four home runs to boot. Alfonso Soriano, Reed Johnson, and Marlon Byrd all check in better than .300 against the Washington starter. I still like Hernandez at home. Inclusive of a disaster against the Marlins, he has a 2.70 ERA in his last three starts and two wins to go with it.
Barry Zito has given up just two runs in his last 13 innings, but he is 2-6 in his last 11 starts against the Padres with a 4.76 ERA. At Petco, his ERA is better (3.60) but he is still 1-2 in his last five. Will Venable is 4-for-10 against Zito and is the only regular above .300, but numbers can be deceiving. Ryan Ludwick is not a bad reach play here either.
Spot Starts: Luebke, Miller, Hernandez