Joyful Victory is the morning line 9:5 favorite with Ramon Dominguez, but I'm not sure this talented three-year-old will win the feature race today at Belmont.
Joyful Victory was good but not great in her last race, the Grade One Kentucky Oaks as the 2:1 favorite. Before her fourth place finish in that race, she won her previous two starts by over 15 lengths, so the distance will not be a factor for her.
Salty Strike is 5:2 and appears to be the under the radar horse today. I like her recent form, including a nice win in the Grade Three Dogwood at Churchill Downs on June 4. However, I don't like that this will be her third race in about five weeks and she's facing a huge increase in class here.
The long shot special in this race is Victoria's Wildcat. I normally shy away from horses that run poorly over a track and this three-year-old was terrible on June 11 in the Grade One Acorn, but I think the sloppy track was a big part of that. In order for this closer to win, the pace has to be honest and jockey David Cohen cannot have her 10 lengths off the lead.
It's not often that I don't like either Todd Pletcher horse but that's the case today.
Buster's Ready is a good horse but I don't think she's quite good enough to win this race today despite John Velazquez being aboard and two solid workouts over the main track at Belmont.
R Gypsy Gold is 15:1 and will be ridden by Javier Castellano and appears to be improving. Despite the recent romp at Monmouth to break her maiden, she was unimpressive at Belmont on May 6 and will need every break to even be a factor.
Pick: I like the true speed in this race Alseera. I think this very lightly raced three-year-old will not be challenged early and can hold off the charging field to win this race. In her last race, she stormed home to win a six-furlong allowance race in 1:10.1 and has shown the ability to run longer, as she won at a mile in 1:37.2.
Alseera over Salty Strike and Victoria's Wildcat in 1:43 flat.