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I will preface this analysis of Tristan Thompson with the fact that I am a Kansas Jayhawks fan. Still, most people think I monitor my bias fairly well. This also means that I watch a lot of Big 12 basketball.
This had led me to the conclusion that Thompson is not worthy of the praise he is receiving as an NBA prospect.
I would like to know when being a great offensive rebounder began turning a player into a projected top-10 pick.
Apparently, this trend has just begun this year.
Thompson will be a very good post defender in the NBA. He will most likely not be good enough to start on a good team, but can be a rotational big man that provides a boost off the bench.
Others seem to feel that he can turn into an impact player.
There are a few reasons he will not.
First, his offensive low-post game is as bad as we have ever seen for a projected lottery pick. Try to think about a great post move you have seen Thompson, and you can't. His footwork is terrible.
Second, he seems to play a step slow. It worked in the Big 12, as he lulled opponents to sleep then found his way past them. NBA athleticism is an entirely new level, and Thompson is not ready for it.
Finally, he is considered an efficient player, but he is not. He shot 48.7 percent from the free-throw line. That tells me he does not have a natural stroke. So, he will not be able to hit an open 12-footer.
Plus, his impressive field goal percentage came from his ability to grab offensive rebounds and put in layups. I am not sure he will be able to effectively do this in the NBA.
Thompson will be a decent defensive power forward in the NBA. However, he is not even near worthy of top-10 consideration. He might just be the beneficiary of a weak draft class.