NBA Draft 2011: Derrick Williams and the 5 Most Overrated Prospects
Every class of NBA Draft prospects has overrated players, but this year, the projected second pick, Derrick Williams, leads the list.
In what is being called by some the weakest draft class since 2000, there are an unusual number of overrated prospects near the top of the draft.
One explanation may be that NBA general managers are scouring the bottom of the barrel in search of a hidden gem.
Nonetheless, let's take a look at the five most overrated prospects in the 2011 NBA Draft class.
5. Jan Vesely, SF, Czech Republic
In the 2012 NBA Draft, Jan Vesely would be projected a few spots lower than he is in the 2011 NBA Draft.
In the 2012 version, he would turn out to be one of the biggest busts in the class.
This year, he is projected as a top five or six pick, but will not be considered as big of a bust due to the weak 2011 draft class.
Vesely is an athletic freak. At 6'11'', he is projected as a small forward, and he definitely uses his size to make highlight-reel plays on the fast break and the occasional block at the rim.
Still, he has no other above-average skills.
His hands are terrible. He is known to have a terrible shot, and it is hard to project him as a fit for any team right now.
Vesely will not come in and score for a bad team. The only real fit would be if Washington selected him, allowing him to dunk home great passes from John Wall.
Vesely might turn into a near-Nikoloz Tskitishvili type of bust. They are completely different types of players, but both of their games do not translate well to the NBA.
Players do not get playing time just for athleticism. In fact, when a prospect's first attribute considered is his athleticism, it is usually similar to when a wide receiver is called fast. The receiver has no hands, so instead, the media raves about his speed.
That's what Vesely is: the "fast" receiver.
4. Donatas Motiejunas, PF, Lithuania
Donatas Motiejunas has been said to be a poor man's version of Andrea Bargnani.
So, he could turn into a very serviceable NBA player if this is true.
Bargnani can shoot from the outside, finish at the rim, and use his finesse game to counteract the physical style of most big men.
Well, the problem is Motiejunas cannot shoot.
In a one-on-none workout a little over a week ago, Motiejunas threw up several air balls and looked winded, according to the ESPN Draft Blog.
So, he is a big man that plays outside-in, cannot shoot even in an empty gym, and gets tired in a personal workout by himself.
That does not sound very appealing.
Motiejunas also has to work on learning to use his body on the boards and to score on the block.
He has a long way to go, and should not be projected toward the end of the lottery.
3. Iman Shumpert, PG/SG, Georgia Tech
Iman Shumpert may turn into a nice player in the NBA.
He had a very solid individual career at Georgia Tech, but found team success a little bit harder to achieve.
Shumpert's biggest pitfall in college was his shooting. His career-best field goal percentage was 40.6 percent.
Still, he rebounded well for a guard, and averaged 2.7 steals per game last year.
About a month ago, Shumpert was solidly projected to go in the second round.
Now he is expected to go as high as No. 17 to the Knicks.
He has impressed teams in workouts.
This kills me. It is as if teams pretend like he never played in college. There is a reason that he was originally not projected in the first round. Either scouts completely missed his college career and he is rising based off first impressions, or they are giving his workouts the benefit of the doubt over his past play.
I am going to say the latter is true, which makes me feel that they are in awe of his physical tools.
Shumpert may turn out to be a good defender in the NBA, but he does not deserve to be shooting up draft boards at this rate.
2. Tristan Thompson, PF, Texas
I will preface this analysis of Tristan Thompson with the fact that I am a Kansas Jayhawks fan. Still, most people think I monitor my bias fairly well. This also means that I watch a lot of Big 12 basketball.
This had led me to the conclusion that Thompson is not worthy of the praise he is receiving as an NBA prospect.
I would like to know when being a great offensive rebounder began turning a player into a projected top-10 pick.
Apparently, this trend has just begun this year.
Thompson will be a very good post defender in the NBA. He will most likely not be good enough to start on a good team, but can be a rotational big man that provides a boost off the bench.
Others seem to feel that he can turn into an impact player.
There are a few reasons he will not.
First, his offensive low-post game is as bad as we have ever seen for a projected lottery pick. Try to think about a great post move you have seen Thompson, and you can't. His footwork is terrible.
Second, he seems to play a step slow. It worked in the Big 12, as he lulled opponents to sleep then found his way past them. NBA athleticism is an entirely new level, and Thompson is not ready for it.
Finally, he is considered an efficient player, but he is not. He shot 48.7 percent from the free-throw line. That tells me he does not have a natural stroke. So, he will not be able to hit an open 12-footer.
Plus, his impressive field goal percentage came from his ability to grab offensive rebounds and put in layups. I am not sure he will be able to effectively do this in the NBA.
Thompson will be a decent defensive power forward in the NBA. However, he is not even near worthy of top-10 consideration. He might just be the beneficiary of a weak draft class.
1. Derrick Williams, SF/PF, Arizona
Derrick Williams is going to be a very good NBA player.
He deserves to be a top three pick in the 2011 NBA Draft.
So, how is he overrated?
Due to the lack of other all-around players in this draft, he is being looked at as the next great forward in the league.
This is not true.
Williams is superior to the rest of his draft class. The problem is, he has a terrible group of prospects behind him.
Williams is like the decent-looking girl at the bar who looks amazing sitting next to her hideous friends.
So, Williams will likely be a contender for Rookie of the Year (depending on the situation he lands in), and will have a nice, long NBA career.
But, let's not act like he is a Sports Illustrated swimsuit model. He really is just a cute girl who has ugly friends.
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