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Few backs have been as solid and dominant as Jackson over the past five seasons. Believe me, as someone who mistakenly dealt S-Jax before his epic 2006 campaign (2300 total yards, 16 TD’s, 90 catches), I know just how unworldly he can be. However, there’s no denying his kamikaze rushing style has left him tattered and prone to injury. While I don’t believe he’ll completely fall off the fantasy map in 2011, I see plenty of reasons to avoid drafting him—especially if you are thinking he’ll be your RB No.1.
As mentioned earlier, Josh McDaniels’ tenure as offensive coordinator means passing, passing and more passing. This bodes well for Jackson’s reception totals, but not his rushing. Furthermore, the bruising former Beaver has amassed a resounding 907 carries over the past three seasons and has missed 6 games during the same time span.
Eventually 300 + carry seasons will wreak havoc on a running back. What’s the last potential harbinger of a downslide in 2011? How about his sub 4.0 ypc average in 2010 (3.8) and his mediocre 10 TD’s the past two years. Am I avoiding Jackson completely in 2011? No, but I am not going to take him in the first two rounds, nor am I going to rely upon him to be a true No. 1 RB anymore.