When we do well, it is due to our genius and preparation. When we do poorly, it was due to misfortune. How can we learn from experience if we won't give ourselves honest analysis of the facts?
Action Steps
How can we conquer our own minds and learn from our experience faster than ever before? I've devised a quick worksheet that will force you to make a record of your predictions and your results. This five-minute exercise will tell you how your previous guesses have done. The first step towards making better guesses in the future.
1. Print out your lineup every week with the "projected stats" included.
2. Guess whether each player will score above or below his projection, and mark with an up or down arrow.
3. Write the reason for your guess. Weak opponent, jet lag, whatever.
4. Grade your paper with the actual results Monday morning.
When you complete these steps, you overcome selective memory...Paper doesn't lie. You'll get a feel for when your projections are likely to be wrong, giving you more information in future weeks.
While we all learn from our experiences, we all do it at different speeds. If you have the proper processes in place, you'll be better able to identify both your successes and failures. With this information, achieving repeatable positive results becomes much easier.
Isn't that what you’re trying to do?
These ideas were found in Decision Traps, By Edward Russo & Paul Schoemaker, and adapted for your use in fantasy football.
Edited by Matt Gilmartin.
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