5 Sluggers Who Have a Chance at the Home Run Title
In a year that's been called the year of the pitcher, their seems to be no holding back when it comes to home run hitting.
Jose Bautista is picking up where he left off last season, smashing 21 homers in just 63 games and is tied with Curtis Granderson and Mark Teixeira for the league lead.
All three are showing no signs of slowing down which is why they could all be over 50 by season's end. In this article, i will break down the top five home run hitters in the league so far this season, and their percentage chance to end up on top at season's end.
Rob Carr/Getty Images
2011 Total: 21
Career High: 54 (2010)
My 2011 Projection: 51
Chance of leading league: 85 percent
It's going to be extremely hard for Bautista to duplicate his numbers from a year ago. The home run king of last season has shown he is one of the elite hitters in all of baseball, and will not stop smashing them out of the park.
I don't believe that he will reach his 54 of last year, but he will go over the 50 mark.
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2011 Total: 21
Career High: 30 (2009)
My 2011 Projection: 48
Chance of leading the league: 75 percent
Granderson is only three homers shy of last year's total with the Yankees.
This season, he's hit 21 homers in 69 games compared to 24 in 136 last season. I expect Curtis to dive into a home run drought at some point during the season, however, he will still be in contention when it comes to season's end.
Jim McIsaac/Getty Images
2011 Total: 21
Career High: 43 (2005)
My 2011 Projection: 50
Chance of leading the league: 80 percent
Mark Teixeira is firing on all cylinders.
The Yankee first baseman has exploded for 21 homers so far this season while getting it done from both sides of the plate. By seasons end, I see him leading the Bombers in home runs as well as being a leading candidate for the American League MVP award.
Doug Pensinger/Getty Images
2011 Total: 20
Career High: 28 (2010)
My 2011 Projection: 42
Chance of leading the league: 15 percent
While Kemp is currently second in total home runs so far this season, I find it hard to believe that he will be at the top of the list at season's end.
The young Dodgers star is only eight homers away form last years total, and is hitting homers at a rate of one home run for every 12.85 at-bats.
Darren McCollester/Getty Images
2011 Total: 19
Career High: 50 (2007)
My 2011 Projection: 55
Chance of leading the league: 90 percent
While Prince is currently behind his career-high pace he set in 2007, a contract year always seems to push players to preform at their highest levels.
During the 2007 campaign, Prince hit a homer every 11.46 at-bats compared to 13.32 this season. With the Brewers being in the playoff race, I expect Prince to lead his team into the playoffs while also leading the league in homers at season's end.