Belmont Racetrack: Grade One Acorn

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Belmont Racetrack: Grade One Acorn
Andy Lyons/Getty Images
Snow Fall with Javier Castellano appears to be a longshot threat

The Grade One Acorn has a short but talented field.  The $300,000, eight-furlong race features top three-year-old filly Turbulent Descent, who is the 3:5 morning line favorite.

Turbulent Descent has won five of six races in her career but her lone loss was her only start at eight furlongs.  She appears to be in good form, with very strong workouts lately at Hollywood Park.

The second choice is Savvy Supreme, trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by John Velasquez.  This lightly raced three-year-old has a win over the Belmont main track and should be the pacesetter.

Victoria's Wildcat is the true closer in this mile race, but I don't think she'll actually be a factor.  I don't anticipate any fast early fractions, so this late charger might not have anything to close into.

The pick is Snow Fall.  At 8:1, this horse is not just a good value but a good choice.  At first, you will see that she's just two for four in her starts, but a closer look will show that both losses were on the turf.

Since turning to the dirt, this stalker has won easily both times, including an easy win at a mile on May 21 in 1:36.1.

Look for Savvy Supreme to break well and take early command but run moderate fractions of 23.2 and 47.  Without anyone to push this horse, she could be tough to catch in the stretch.

As Savvy Supreme hits the top of the stretch, Turbulent Descent and Snow Fall will make aggressive moves and take aim at the leader.  Snow Fall will prevail over both and win the Acorn in a photo.

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