Miami Heat: Why Heat Will Only Win One Game in Big D
Miami Heat Break Out to Early Lead Against Mavericks in Game 3
As the Miami Heat break out an early lead in Game 3 of the 2011 NBA Finals in Dallas, some people can already see the wheels turning: the Heat will shock the Mavericks, winning two in Dallas, and then cap things off with a Game 6 win in Miami.
But the truth is, we overreacted when the Mavericks won Game 2 in Miami, and even a Game 3 win by the Heat in Dallas would be an overreaction.
You didn't think the Mavericks would sweep in Dallas, did you? Because that would have been foolish to assume.
This series is going to go seven games in my opinion, with the Mavericks coming out on top in the end.
I expect the Heat to win one game in games 3 through 5, with Game 6, and then lose Game 7 at home.
What's so intriguing about this series is the Heat have the type of talent to overcome bad play in spots, but the Mavericks generally play so well as a team that they have the advantage in the long run in my mind.
The Mavericks are a veteran team, as the Heat have only played together for a year. Sure, what the Heat have done in just one year has been remarkable, so remarkable it has many claiming they will win the title as soon as this year. But the Mavericks have been together forever, and this is likely Dirk Nowitzki, Jason Terry and Jason Kidd's last chance for a championship.
I think the Heat are still a year away from the title, and the Mavericks' cohesiveness as a whole will prevail.
So if the Heat win tonight, or win one game in Dallas, don't panic: it's simply the mark of a great NBA Finals.
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