Check out Bud Norris' road splits before starting him against the Padres. Norris is 0-3 on the road with a 6.55 ERA in four starts. He has allowed batters to hit .330 against him in those starts. He certainly still has strikeout numbers worth starting, fanning 26 in 22 road innings. This is Petco Park, which is slightly different than most of his road starts, but tough none the less.
Ichiro is a .367 hitter in 30 at-bats against James Shields and he is not the only one with good numbers against the Tampa starter. Chone Figgins is 10-for-27, showing good numbers despite recent struggles. Franklin Gutierrez and Miguel Olivo are both better than .300 against him as well. Jack Cust and Adam Kennedy are your only trouble spots.
Johnny Damon owns Felix Hernandez, posting a .563 average in 16 at-bats. Look to see Casey Kotchman in the lineup as well given his 5-for-14 marks. B.J. Upton though is only 1-for-18 and Ben Zobrist is only 2-for-12.
Both Carlos Beltran and Angel Pagan are worth starting against Paul Maholm. Pagan is 5-for-12 with a home run while Beltran is 6-for-14 with a home run as well. Maholm may be 1-3 on the road, but batters are hitting just .218 against him outside of his home park.
Spot Starts: Maholm, Stauffer, Swarzak
After racking up six wins to start the season, Jered Weaver has gone winless in his last six starts. In his last two, he has pitched much better, giving up just one earned over the last 16 innings in that stretch. Curtis Granderson and Robinson Cano are your best options against him, both hitting .400 or better in a combined 29 at-bats. Russell Martin's 7-for-19 is solid as well, as is Alex Rodriguez's 5-for-15. Avoid the rest of your Yankees, specifically Jeter and Posada who are both below .200 against Weaver.
Would you really start Josh Thole against anyone? He is 5-for-11 against Derek Lowe, so this would be the spot to give it a go. Dan Murphy and Scott Hairston are your other decent options. Carlos Beltran has had his problems with Lowe, hitting just .216 against him in 38 at-bats. Jason Bay is worse at 0-for-15 while Angel Pagan is 5-for-21.
Mark Buehrle has only lost once in his last five decisions but was hit hard by Detroit earlier this year. Still, he is 4-1 with a 3.30 ERA against them in his last seven starts. Victor Martinez is a .333 hitter in 66 at-bats against him while Jhonny Peralta checks in at .284 in 74 at-bats. Look to avoid the 2-for-20 of Miguel Cabrera and Brandon Inge at .237 is no better.
Matt Cain has given up nine runs in 11.2 innings pitched this season against the Rockies, not a good mark. Ryan Spilborghs, Chris Iannetta, and Troy Tulowitzki are your only regulars better than .300 against Cain. Carlos Gonzalez has had his problems, going only 3-for-25 and Seth Smith is only 1-for-18. Avoid most your Rockies where possible.
There should be mild concern over Clay Buchholz though it does appear he will start against Oakland. Buchholz had a stiff back on Sunday and says he has felt it throughout the season at various points. He has allowed three or fewer runs in each of his last six starts and has not picked up a loss in any of those outings. Only the 6-for-16 of Hideki Matsui and 4-for-9 of Mark Ellis stand out as numbers to start.
Spot Starts: Collmenter, Nicasio, Duffy