Belmont Racetrack: Grade 1 Metropolitan Mile

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Belmont Racetrack: Grade 1 Metropolitan Mile
Haynesfield Appears the One to Beat in the Met Mile

 Despite the absence of Morning Line, who probably would have been a slight favorite, the $500,000 Metropolitan Mile appears to be stacked with talented horses. 

 

Contenders

Haynesfield: This very talented five-year-old is five for seven at Belmont and should have better stamina after a disappointing fourth place finish in the Grade Three Westchester on April 30.  Ramon Dominguez is aboard this pace setter and should be the horse to catch and beat.

Aikenite: I really like how this horse has won his last two races at seven furlongs.  This race should have a fair pace, and Aikenite should be closing with John Velasquez aboard.  Aikenite is one for one at Belmont.

Caixa Electronica: This Todd Pletcher trained six-year-old seems to have found his best form lately, winning both his recent eight furlong races.  I absolutely love the five furlong work on May 23 in 59 one-fifth.

Tizway: A repeat of last year's Met Mile will probably will result in an easy win, but that performance was lost in the three length loss to Quality Road.  Tizway has never finished worse than third in five career starts at Belmont and should be a powerful stretch threat after running nine furlongs in his last start. 

 

Long Shots 

Stormy's Majesty: His last two races over the Belmont dirt have been mediocre, but I look at his June 4, 2010 win at one mile as the reason to thinking he could be a good play in exotics.  He won by nearly nine lengths in 1:35.2.

Rodman: This speedster has the ability to push Haynesfield early and hold on late.  This horse has been dominant in his last two starts at one mile, and although Ramon Dominguez is passing on this horse for Haynesfield, I think this horse could be very dangerous. 

 

The Rest

Tackleberry: He has been fantastic lately but has never run at Belmont.  He's won two of three at the distance, but I think Rodman and Haynesfield will hurt his chances with a very solid pace.

Ibboyee: I thought this horse had a chance with his closing ability, until I saw he's winless in three starts at Belmont.  I like that Javier Castellano picks up the mount on this late charger, but I don't think he will get it done.

Soaring Empire: I like the solid workouts at Monmouth recently, but he was terrible in his only start over the dirt at Belmont, and I don't like his chances to beat this deep field despite being a good horse.

Yawanna Twist: Was in tough in his last in the Grade One Carter, but this spot appears just as tough.  I also don't like the six furlong work in 1:17 on May 22.  He has never raced at the distance previously.

Kensei: Hasn't won a race in nearly two years and doesn't appear to be in good form.  The recent workouts at Churchill Downs are encouraging but just one for five at Belmont. 

 

Pick

I like Aikenite to pass Haynesfield and Rodman in deep stretch.  The track has been blistering fast and I wouldn't be shocked if this race was run in 1:34.  I think Haynesfield will be much better in his second race tomorrow after a six month layoff, but this race has a lot of good speed that will push him early.  If Haynesfield is around 3:1, he's a great value and I'll box him with Aikenite in my exacta.


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