Darren McFadden and Darrius Heyward-Bey Need to Increase Efficiency and Effort

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Darren McFadden and Darrius Heyward-Bey Need to Increase Efficiency and Effort
Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Sometimes to examine the efficiency of certain players, it's useful to compare their statistics with those of former players. Former Oakland Raiders Art Powell and Warren Wells had successful seasons at the beginning of their careers, and in this article I'm going to examine how some of Oakland's recent first round draft picks stack up to the standard they set. Four players are compared: Art Powell, Warren Wells, Darren McFadden and Darrius Heyward-Bey.

The model is limited but it does give some insight about expectations. 

Here are the measures used in the limited comparisons:

  Art Powell Warren Wells Darren McFadden   Heyward-Bey
  y/r   y/r   y/r     y/r  
  17.9   23.2   9.8     13.8  
  17.9   21.5   11.7     14.1  
  15.4   26.8   10.8        
  19.4   21.7            
  17.65   23.3   10.76667     13.95  
  y/g   y/g   y/g     y/g  
  93.1   21.6   21.9     11.3  
  97.2   81.2   20.4     24.4  
  57.1   90   39        
  73.3   66.8            
  80.175   64.9   27.1     17.85  
  yscrim   yscrim   yscrm     yscrm  
  1304   309   784     143  
  1361   1175   602     414  
  800   1284   1664        
  1026   969            
  1122.75   934.25   1016.667     278.5  
  td   td   td     td  
  16   6   4     1  
  11   11   1     1  
  12   14   7        
  11   11            
  12.5   10.5   4     1  
  lng   lng   lng     lng  
  85   50   27     24  
  77   94   48     69  
  66   80   67        
  46   60            
  68.5   71   47.33333     46.5

 

 

Both Art Powell and Warren Wells played for the Oakland Raiders four consecutive years, so I used the statistics from their first four years with the team. The first three years and the first two years of McFadden and Heyward-Bey are listed, respectively.

We can make several observations from this limited model.

1. Art Powell ranks above Wells and the current players if we look at the first two years as Oakland Raiders in the yards per game (y/g) category.

2. Warren Wells ranks above Powell and the current players if we look at the first two years as Oakland Raiders in the yards per reception (y/r) category.

3. Powell and Wells had very high efficiency levels when compared to the current players. They hit the ground running. They adjusted to the team very quickly. It didn't take three or four years for them to be effective and efficient.

4. It is imperative that McFadden and Hayward-Bey have dramatic increases in their efficiency and effectiveness in 2011. 

5. In the categories selected in this limited model, we observe the following overall ranks:

 

    Art Powell Warren Wells Darren McFadden   Heyward-Bey
  y/r 2   1   4     3  
  y/g 1   2   3     4  
  ysrim 1   3   2     4  
  td 1   2   3     4  
  lng 2   1   3     4  
    1.4   1.8   3     3.8  
                     
Overall Rank 1   2   3     4  

 

Finally, if we use percentages to determine how far McFadden and Heyward-Bey are from Powell and Wells' output level, we can say that they need to roughly double their statistics if they want to stack up. Here are a few numbers:

Long during first two years of career with Oakland              
Powell Wells McFadden Heyward-Bey              
85 50 27 24   27/85 31.76 percent of top player's performance, Art Powell
77 94 48 69   69/94 73.4 percent of top player's performance,  Warren Wells
81 72 37.5 46.5   56 percent of top player's performance Art Powell       
1 2 4 3                
                       

There is evidence in this limited model that the young Oakland Raiders need to at least double their efficiency and effectiveness to meet the standard established by former Oakland Raiders.

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