Derek Jeter: 9 Bold Predictions for His Next 2 Years

By (Correspondent) on May 27, 2011

5,970 reads

11Icon_comment

Previous
1 of 11
Next
NEW YORK, NY - MAY 15:  Derek Jeter #2 of the New York Yankees in action against the Boston Red Sox during their game on May 15, 2011 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx borough of New York City.  (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)
Al Bello/Getty Images

Through just 46 games in 2011, Derek Jeter is off to arguably his worst offensive start in his career, batting just .255 with a .310 on-base percentage and a .632 OPS.

The Yankees captain, who is just 24 hits shy of 3000 (all with the Yankees) signed a new three-year, $51 million deal that will keep him in pinstripes for at least the foreseeable future.

The deal also includes an $8 million player option for a fourth year.

In his age 36-39 seasons, it will be nearly impossible for Jeter to live up to his salary of an all-star caliber player.

No matter his performance, however, it'd be difficult to see the Yankees ever pulling him out of the lineup altogether (e.g. Jorge Posada).

With that in mind, let's take a look at some predictions for Derek Jeter's next (and maybe final) two seasons.

Data Courtesy Of:

www.fangraphs.com

www.baseball-reference.com

mlb.com/stats/historical/entry.jsp

9. Hits .300 Again

NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 07:  Derek Jeter #2 of the New York Yankees against the Minnesota Twins at Yankee Stadium on April 7, 2011 in the Bronx borough of New York City.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
Nick Laham/Getty Images

Jeter owns a .313 batting average for his career. He has hit .300 or higher in 12 of his 15 completed seasons of play.

When he finished 2010 with a .270 average, it was the first time Jeter had failed to hit .300 since 2004 (.292).

Jeter has had a high average throughout his career because he has always been a line drive/hard ground ball hitter.

He owns career marks for balls in play of 19.9 percent for liners and 57.4 percent for grounders.

Those numbers say 11.2 percent and 68.6 percent respectively this season, suggesting that there might be something wrong with Jeter's approach.

If he can figure out exactly what that is, hitting .300 one more time is a pretty realistic goal.

8. 200 Hit Year

NEW YORK, NY - MAY 14:  Derek Jeter #2 of the New York Yankees bats against the Boston Red Sox on May 14, 2011 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx borough of New York City.  (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

Derek Jeter has recorded over 200 hits in a season seven times. The last was in 2009, when he hit .334 with 212 hits.

His highest total was his 219 hits and .349 average in 1999.

Reaching 200 hits requires durability and a high spot in the batting order.

One factor is controllable, the other is not. The fact that Jeter has reached 600-plus at bats in 11 of his 15 seasons (and 580-plus in 14 of 15) suggests that neither will become a problem.

Correcting his current .282 batting average on balls in play, compared with his .354 career mark, might be.

7. 3,515 Hits

BALTIMORE, MD - APRIL 23:  Derek Jeter #2 of the New York Yankees at the plate against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on April 23, 2011 in Baltimore, Maryland.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
Rob Carr/Getty Images

If he can manage to either hit .300 or amass 200 hits, say next season, the questions surrounding Derek Jeter will go from "What's wrong with him?" to "How long can he keep going?"

With 2,976 base knocks, Jeter is currently 29th all-time in hits.

If he can get his hit parade going again for a few more years, Jeter could stand to crack the Top 5 all-time and pass Tris Speaker (3,514).

I'm sure this was already on his list of personal goals.

6. Another Gold Glove?

BALTIMORE, MD - MAY 19:  Derek Jeter #2 of the New York Yankees throws the ball to first base during the game against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on May 19, 2011 in Baltimore, Maryland. Jeter was given an error on the throw. (Phot
Greg Fiume/Getty Images

Whether he has deserved them or not, Derek Jeter has won five Gold Gloves at shortstop for his career, including the American League's most recent two.

Yankee fans like to point out Jeter's sky-high fielding percentage. He only committed six errors in 2010 and eight in 2009.

However, this is largely a by-product of beneficial home score keeping, due to Jeter's lack of anything resembling even average range for his position.

Even still, if he keeps posting high-fielding percentages, then Jeter may continue to win what may be the biggest popularity contest in sports.

5. Top 10 MVP Finish

NEW YORK - MAY 21:  Mark Teixeira #25 of the New York Yankees is congradulated by teammate Derek Jeter #2 after hitting a two run homerun in the bottom of the third inning against the New York Mets on May 21, 2011 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx borough of
Mike Stobe/Getty Images

What would a Gold Glove and 200 hits in the same season bring for Derek Jeter at this point in his career?

Maybe his first MVP. At his age, he'd likely be the oldest first-time winner of the award, but that isn't very likely to happen.

Instead, Jeter can hope to once again place in the Top 10 for voting, which he has done seven times in his career (once at second, twice at third, once at sixth, three times at 10th).

The closest he has ever come to winning one was in 2006, when he fell by just a few votes to Minnesota's Justin Morneau.

4. 2-Time World Series MVP

NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 13:  Derek Jeter #2 (L) of the New York Yankees jokes with Yankee legend and Hall of Famer Reggie Jackson before playing the Tampa Bay Devil Rays on September 13, 2006 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx borough of New York City.  (Photo b
Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

A postseason MVP might be far more realistic for Jeter than one in the regular season.

If he can manage to get the Yankees back to the World Series, and play well, Jeter could become the first two-time World Series MVP since Reggie Jackson and just the fourth in history (Sandy Koufax, Bob Gibson).

Jeter is one of the greatest performers in the history of postseason play, posting a .309 average and .850 OPS with 20 homers and 17 steals.

A second World Series MVP might cement his status as the greatest playoff performer in baseball history.

3. Offers to Switch Position

NEW YORK, NY - MAY 13:  Derek Jeter #2 of the New York Yankees in action against the Boston Red Sox during their game on May 13, 2011 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx borough of New York City.  (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)
Al Bello/Getty Images

Derek Jeter is a winner and a leader because he is a team guy first.

That being said, I expect that he will offer to switch positions and move to DH or the outfield at some point during his current contract.

The most important thing to Derek Jeter is probably winning as many rings as he can at this point.

If the Yankees fail to win a title this year, Jeter might make an offseason proposal that he be used in another capacity.

I doubt that any change is actually made, however.

2. Continues Poor Play, Misses Playoffs, Retires Early

NEW YORK, NY - MAY 15:  Derek Jeter #2 of the New York Yankees is hits a by a pitch during their game against the Boston Red Sox on May 15, 2011 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx borough of New York City.  (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)
Al Bello/Getty Images

There is also the possibility that Jeter never breaks out of the current funk he is in.

The AL East is more loaded than ever this year, with four legitimate teams who probably all deserve to make the playoffs.

But the Yankees, Red Sox, Rays and Jays will continue to sort out their differences on the field over the next couple of months.

With the difference in talent so marginal among those teams, any two (or one if they beat each other up bad enough) of the four could emerge from the division.

If Derek Jeter continues to struggle and the Yankees miss the playoffs for the next two years, I don't know if he'd come back for that final season.

1. Gets Job with or Ownership Stake in Yankees

BALTIMORE, MD - APRIL 23: Derek Jeter #2 of the New York Yankees before the Yankees game against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on April 23, 2011 in Baltimore, Maryland.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
Rob Carr/Getty Images

Derek Jeter has always seemed like a Yankee lifer—and not just until he retires.

I suspect that we will see Derek Jeter with the Yankees, in some capacity, for nearly the rest of his life.

He has always bled blue and white pinstripes, and I don't suspect that anything about that will change, even after he hangs his cleats up for the final time.

Jeter is one of the highest paid players in baseball history, and I suspect that he will use some of his money to re-invest in an ownership stake of the team after he's done playing.

I could also see the Yankees grooming him as an advisor or even a general manager down the line.

Begin Slideshow
Keep Reading
Flag
Props (0)
This article is

What is the duplicate article?

Why is this article offensive?

Where is this article plagiarized from?

Why is this article poorly edited?

Flag This Article
New York Yankees New York Yankees: Like this team?
Default-user-icon-comment
or to post a comment

11 Comments

There are no comments yet. Get the conversation started by leaving the first comment
Big
Loading comments...
just now posted just now
  • Loading...
  • Nobody has liked this comment yet
Cancel

This comment and all replies have been deleted This comment has been deleted Undo delete

Follow the New York Yankees from B/R on Facebook

Follow the New York Yankees from B/R on Facebook and get the latest updates straight to your newsfeed!

Fans of

Icon_subscribe
Icon_youtube
Icon_google
New York Yankees

Subscribe Now

We will never share your email address

Thanks for signing up.

We're Scouting Top Writers

Top 100 Pitchers in Baseball Hint: you can use arrow keys to navigate through this channel.