Christian Petersen/Getty Images
If you live in the state of Alabama or Louisiana, you could probably get run out of town for saying something like this.
But there are several things working against the SEC in 2011.
First off, Auburn won't be anywhere near as good as it was last year. That's not to say the Tigers will be bad, but they won't be in BCS championship form, to be sure.
Secondly, Florida will be adjusting to a completely new system. Will Muschamp is bringing his brand of football to Gainesville, and it includes a Charlie Weis offense. While Florida will be back to thumping through the regular season before too long, it's probably a safe bet to assume that the first year with Muschamp at the helm won't be a BCS championship year.
LSU is about as big of a mystery as one can find in the SEC. Early on last season it looked as if it was nothing more than dumb luck that kept LSU from losing games. By season's end, it was a bona fide Top-10 team. There aren't a ton of things that have changed for LSU from 2010, so it'll be interesting to see if the Tigers are more consistent or if they'll need the good graces of lady luck again this season.
Clearly, the favorite this season in the SEC is Alabama. So why won't the Crimson Tide embarrass everyone they face and win another BCS title?
The simple answer is history. Just playing the odds, it's hard to imagine the SEC winning six in a row. Of course, it was hard to imagine five, but that happened.
The biggest problem will be the rest of the country. There are a lot of good teams this year across all of the other BCS conferences (with the exception of the Big East). The Pac-12 will have at least one, possibly two legit contenders. The Big Ten will have two or three contenders. The ACC will have a couple, as will the Big 12.
While the SEC worshipers will have a hard time understanding this, the BCS and the rest of the country will take any excuse to keep out an SEC program.
If there isn't an undefeated SEC team this season, they're out. If there is, but there are two or more other undefeated teams out there, they're out. If it comes down to a one-loss Big Ten champion or a one-loss Pac-12 champion and a one-loss SEC champion, they're out.
Alabama will need to go 13-0 to have a shot at the BCS title game, and no matter what team it is, that's always hard to do.