2011 Fantasy Football Strategy: Calculating Character Risk

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2011 Fantasy Football Strategy: Calculating Character Risk
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Brandon Marshall is a likely candidate for "The Rule of 1.5."

Character is a big factor you need to use when building a team at the dynasty level or even in a redraft fantasy football league. It’s one of the biggest factors we at DLF use when evaluating players and prospects. This article is designed to give you a simple rule of thumb on how to use character as an evaluation tool. There’s a simple question you need to ask yourself.

How important is it to you to have players with perceived high moral standards?

We’re obviously die-hard dynasty league players here at DLF. When a player we own goes haywire and gets in trouble with the law, many of us take it personally. We spend so much time on this that we hate to see strategic advantages we’ve worked hard to create disappear in one night with a drug charge, a dog killing spree or a pistol going off in someone’s sweatpants.

If you don’t feel a personal connection to your players, and are only in it for financial gain or the thrill of victory, this likely doesn’t come into play as much. In the end, fantasy football and especially dynasty leagues are about competitive advantages and strategic maneuvering. If you can remove human emotion, it’s likely a tool you can use to your advantage. You still need to be very smart about how much risk you take on.

The rule of thumb we use is something we call “the rule of 1.5.”

First, you take your existing positional dynasty rankings and number each player from number one and beyond. These rankings need to be unbiased and as complete and current as possible. If you don’t have these made, shame has come down on you from us. You should always have this ready to use for trades and evaluations.

For players marked with character concerns, take your existing positional rankings and multiply them by 1.5. For example, if you have Brandon Marshall at No. 5, you could use the formula and multiply 5x1.5 for a total of 7.5. Marshall is now somewhere between No. 7 and No. 8 on your wide receiver list. If you could trade him straight up for a player at No. 7 or No. 8, we’d advise doing it.  From every position list, it’s up to you on who you want to indicate as “character concern.”

There are lots of different things to factor in when making that decision. At times, we’ve even tiered the severity of rankings punishment based on the amount of risk up to 2.0 or even 2.25.  The simple “rule of 1.5” is a great start for a rookie coach or a veteran coach looking for a way to quantify risk. Failure to accurately account in some way for character can be a death sentence for your team.

Looking for more strategic advice on how to win your league? Searching for the tool which will help to separate you from the rest of your league mates. Well, look no further!

The Dynasty Essentials Guide offers a complete fantasy recap of the 2011 NFL Draft, and is also a primer for the 2011 fantasy football season, and beyond.

There is simply nothing else like it and we’re offering a free glimpse for our readers here at Bleacher Report.

With its intense analysis of all the pivotal rookies in this year’s NFL Draft, as well as its in-depth examination of the veterans, this guide will provide you with all of the tools you will need to make informed, insightful decisions. With both a focus on long-term value as well as near-term impact, this guide is ideal for the dynasty, redraft, or keeper league coach who wants a complete, big-picture view of the fantasy football landscape!

We’ve put in countless hours creating this downloadable magazine. It contains over 200 pages of information including all the following:

Draft Essentials

Positional Dynasty Rankings
Redraft or Competing Team Rankings
D/ST Rankings
IDP Rankings
Post-Draft Rookie Rankings with commentary
Organized Cheat Sheets
Printable Draft Sheet for New or Existing Leagues
Dynasty Mock Draft with new rookies included

Player Essentials

Teams Capsules for all 32 NFL Teams
Categorization with commentary (rising, falling, in their prime) for over 250 NFL Players
Training Camp Battles
In-Depth Dynasty Debates
Buy and Sell Candidates
2011 Predictions from the DLF Staff

Strategy Essentials

Trading and Building Tips
Commissioner Advice Column
Words of Advice from the DLF Staff

Additionally, you’ll also get free access to updated cheat sheets and addendums to the guide all the way up to the beginning of the season.

This full-color downloadable magazine is the first of its kind. People new to dynasty leagues will find it to be a huge resource for gaining an edge on your competition, while veteran owners are sure to find it a valuable tool for re-evaluating their own teams. We named it the Dynasty Essentials Guide because we feel it’s going to be a yearly essential for every fantasy football owner intent on building their dynasty or winning their league this season!

Click here to learn more or to check out a free trial copy, offered exclusively for readers of Bleacher Report.

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