It can be agreed upon that 2010 was the year of the pitcher. But this season, the pitchers have come out of the gate strong again. From Jered Weaver to Josh Johnson, there is a great crop of strong young arms that is dominating major league hitters so far this season.
There are also some surprising pitchers towards the top of the leaderboards. Some of these guys have staying power, but some of them are destined to fall off.
How do you determine who will fall off? There are several stats—xFIP, strand rate, BABIP, and HR/FB rate—that help to determine who has been overperforming. Though it is early in the year, enough baseball has been played to make some reasonable predictions.
Here are seven pitchers who are due for a drop-off in performance.