Pacquiao vs. Mosley: Latest News, Analysis and Predictions
We are now halfway to the biggest fight of the year: Manny Pacquiao-Shane Mosley.
I will be here all day covering all the news that comes down the pipe, giving my own opinions, and throwing some predictions out.
This fight is going to have the casual and hardcore fan watching and is the night boxing will take center stage. There are a couple good smaller cards on earlier in the day but the night belongs to Manny Pacquiao and Shane Mosley.
Mosley is coming into the fight at 39-year-old and has held titles at lightweight, welterweight, and light middleweight. Pacquiao is a 32-year-old who has held titles at flyweight, super bantamweight, featherweight, super featherweight, lightweight, and welterweight.
Pacquiao seems to be at the peak of his powers, while Mosley is clearly on the downside. At any rate, you will find all the Pacquiao news here regardless of it involves him in the ring or not.
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I got up at 11 am and have been writing about this fight ever since. I have flipped flopped on it about 100 times, but I have finally made my mind up.
This fight is going to be interesting for about 15 minutes (5 rounds) and then go south fast. Mosley still has the power to catch Pacquiao and put him out but the window he has is so little.
Pacquiao knows that Mosley is going to gas after four or five rounds and will probably play it relatively safe for the first few rounds. I'm not saying he is going to back off but he won't be as open.
Pacquiao may lose a few rounds but I don't see him losing more then two or three. I don't think the fight will be as dull as some people are predicting because Mosley is a warrior and is going to try and fight until he can't.
The speed of Pacquiao is going to win the day and he may be able to stop Mosley late if he can rough him up enough. If Mosley totally gasses I think a stoppage will happen, either a doctor, corner, or referee stoppage.
If Mosley can keep some in the tank until later I see a wide decision for Manny. I guess my final decision is Pacquiao by wide UD-12.
This comes from Spike TV as their Guys Choice Awards gets close. This is a fairly easy choice for me as Jon Jones is a new fighter on the UFC scene.
Pacquiao on the other hand has been kicking ass in the ring since 1995. I'm going to run down the accomplishments of both men, starting with Pacquiao:
Record: 52-3-2 (38 KO)
Titles won: WBC flyweight, IBF super bantamweight, WBC super featherweight, WBC lightweight, IBO light welterweight, WBO welterweight, WBC light middleweight, The Ring featherweight, junior lightweight, junior welterweight. Lineal champion in four divisions.
Best wins: Chatcahi Sasakul (KO 8), Lehlohonolo Ledwaba (TKO 6), Marco Antonio Barrera (TKO 11, UD 12), Erik Morales (TKO 10, KO 3), Juan Manuel Marquez (UD 12), Oscar De La Hoya (RTD 8), Ricky Hatton (KO 2), Miguel Cotto (TKO 11), Joshua Clottey (UD 12), Antonio Margarito (UD 12)
Titles won: USKBA light heavyweight, UFC light heavyweight
Best wins: Stephan Bonnar (UD 3), Brandon Vera (TKO 1), Vladimir Matyushenko (TKO 1), Ryan Bader (Sub. 2), Mauricio Rua (TKO 3)
It is pretty obvious that Pacquiao is the more dangerous man but he has been at it a lot longer. I believe in time Jones may be worthy of this title but not now. Pacquiao is the number one pound-for-pound fighter in the world in all combat sports (in my opinion)
To make a parallel to professional wrestling you can't have a feud without a bad guy. The bookers in pro wrestling don't put to baby faces against each other.
They take a baby face and heel and make them duke it out. The reason is pretty simple, people love to root against someone. You can match people in wrestling based on their role but you can't in boxing.
One of the reasons people want to see Pacquiao-Floyd Mayweather Jr. is Mayweather Jr. plays the villain perfectly and Pacquiao is the perfect good guy.
They both have backers that detest the other fighter because their personalities are so different. You don't have that with Pacquiao and Shane Mosley.
They are both nice, down to earth guys, who really respect each other. Neither do much trash talking and there is exactly 0 trash talk surrounding this fight.
Sure both of these guys have fans and they will buy the pay-per-view, but for a causal fan the lack of villain may be bothersome.
I know it is harder for me to get up for a fight when I like both fighters, but at the same time it is relaxing to watch a fight without having a rooting interest.
The lack of villain shouldn't hurt this fight to much because Pacquiao is a massive draw by himself. It will probably make numbers dip a little but not to much.
Michael Marley of The Examiner is reporting that both fighters have selected the songs they will be walking out to this Saturday.
This is one element of boxing that is underdone in American boxing. When you watch a fight in Europe the entrances are blown out with live bands, pyrotechnics, and some sort of video.
In America it is pretty ho-hum and brings no excitement to the event. Boxing is an event and making a grand entrance is something that should be done more.
Mosley will come out to the very appropriate LL Cool J song, "Mama Said Knock You Out." This is the perfect song for Mosley as the only way I see him winning is by a knockout.
Pacquiao will counter with one of the most cliche boxing songs ever in "Eye of the Tiger." Total bummer. I was hoping he was going to come out to "Sometimes When We Touch" sung by himself.
It is also being reported that Rick Ross may not walk out with Pacquiao. Total bummer part two. This isn't the first time Pacquiao has come out to Eye of the Tiger, as he did some time ago against someone.
If Pacquiao loses this Saturday, what will it do to his place in history? He has already established himself as one of the, if not, the greatest fighter of his generation.
If he loses now though at the peak of his powers what will it do to him. I believe it will affect him more in the here and now then the future.
Mosley isn't the top fighter he used to be, but he is still pretty good. He is ranked as the second best welterweight in the world by The Ring, but that may say more about the welterweight division.
Pacquiao on the other hand is the best pound-for-pound fighter in the world, or close to it, and hasn't had a challenge since Juan Manuel Marquez in 2008.
Mosley is 0-1-1 in his last two, and has only looked good in one of his last four fights. If he beats Pacquiao Saturday the immediate impact will be significant.
It will be viewed as an over-the-hill fighter beating the pound-for-pound king at the peak of his powers. Over time it will become a hall-of-fame fighter beat a pound-for-pound king.
History is usually kind to boxers and I believe that is the case here.
This video is brought to us by SKEE.tv and is a pretty good interview. The interview was put up yesterday and is a pretty good one.
The interview took place up at Big Bear when Shane Mosley was training for the fight before heading down to Vegas. I enjoyed this interview as it was done by a non-boxing guy and it wasn't the typical boxing questions.
I know I get in the habit of interviewing boxers and asking the same four or five questions. Nothing to ground breaking in the interview but a good one none the less.
Mosley is comfortable in the interview and I would give it a look.
Are you afraid of ghosts? That is the question undefeated Alfonso Lopez has to ask himself. He will bring in his untested record against the former Ring, WBC and WBO middleweight champion.
As most know Kelly Pavlik is coming off a stint in rehab for alcohol, and hasn't fought since losing his middleweight title to Sergio Martinez in April of last year.
He fought well in that fight but bad cuts lead to his loss. Lopez on the other hand is taking a massive step up in class, and to be honest to big of a step.
His best win is Rubin Williams and Williams isn't anywhere near the class of Pavlik. Pavlik is going to be rusty, but that shouldn't cost him a win.
Lopez is going to be out of his depth and word is he is going to try and box which would be a terrible decision.
I was, and still am, a huge Pavlik fan and hope that he comes back and fights like he did before. He is moving up to the 168 pound division and could really make that the best division in boxing.
A little while back I gave the five reasons why Manny Pacquiao can win, and now we are going to flip the script and give the five reasons "Sugar" Shane can win:
His mind: He truly believes he can win this fight, and that goes a long way sometimes. He is one of the most self confident boxers I have ever seen, and self belief goes a long way.
His power: He still has a lot of blunt force power, and if he lands a clean shot on Pacquiao he is going to hurt him. He may only have about five rounds to land the big one but it can be done.
His chin: He has been down two times in his career, and it was in the same round against Vernon Forrest. His chin has always been rock solid, and it shows no sign of being cracked.
Manny's chin: On the flip side Pacquiao has been knocked out two times in his career. Sure he was 17 and 21-years-old when that happened, but it did happen.
Pacquiao appeared to be hurt by both Joshua Clottey and Antonio Margarito. Neither of them have the power of Mosley.
His left hook: Al Bernstein brought this to my attention, and it is a very valid point. Mosley hasn't used his left hook as of late, but it was one of his better punches when he was younger.
It could be a secret weapon come this Saturday.
This is the biggest fight of the year for sure. It will get the most pay-per-view buys, be talked about the most, and will get the most play on ESPN.
That doesn't mean it is the most important fight of the year though. As most people already know few people are giving Shane Mosley a chance, and that usually means the fight is going to be dull.
No matter what you think of this fight I do not think it is the most important fight of the year. If you ask me the Wladimir Klitschko-David Haye is the most important fight of the year.
If it happens (and that remains to be seen) it will get the heavyweight division back in the spotlight, and will put us so close to a unified heavyweight division.
This isn't the fight "to save the heavyweight division", but it is getting people interested. This is a heavyweight title fight that I can not wait to see. Haye is a big, hard hitting, athletic heavyweight who can at least make a run at Wladimir.
Wladimir is by and far the best heavyweight out there and Haye is the only threat out there. After this fight there isn't much in the heavyweight division.
If Wladimir wins the fight though he has every title outside of Vitali's and with Vitali set to retire this year it would open the door for Wladimir to grab that title.
I also think that a Wladimir-Haye fight would just be better. They are both at, or near, the top of their peak and would put on a great show.
This is a fight that really pains me. Vazquez Jr. is a legitimate top five guy in the super bantamweight division, and one of my favorite young fighters. He is defending his WBO title for the third time against warhorse Jorge Arce.
Arce has been in 64 fights and he rarely has an easy one. He still makes good fights but hasn't had a solid win since about 2007.
He is still racking up the wins, and winning titles but is largely irrelevant. Anytime he steps up he is beaten and usually pretty easily. Vazquez Jr. is strong, young, and very good.
His last three opponents have a combined record of 57-4-2, and two of them were undefeated. This is basically giving a name fighter to a young up and comer.
It is a method that has always been around in boxing and will never go away. I will say that I am happy Vazquez Jr. is getting this many eyes on him, and hopefully he can look impressive in getting a win.
This isn't the freshest of news stories but it is one that I find very interesting. According to hollywoodreporter.com Rick Ross will walk in with Manny Pacquiao.
Rappers have long been associated with boxers, and this isn't the first time that a boxer has come out with a rapper.
Method Man and Red Man walked out with Roy Jones Jr., Nelly has come out with Cory Sinks, Diddy came out with Naseem Hamed, and the most famous example may be Tupac and Mike Tyson.
Tupac was of course killed that night and ESPN put out a pretty good documentary titled One Night in Vegas.
You are probably asking why is this important? Pacquiao fights have become more then just a fight. They have become something that celebrities, boxing fans, and everyone else pay attention to.
You don't see rappers accompanying Amir Khan to the ring even though he is one of the better talents in all of boxing. Pacquiao has transcended boxing, and is more then just a fighter.
Rumor is Rick Ross is coming to the ring with Pacquiao because he is in a feud with 50 Cent who is a close friend of Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Rapper feuds in boxing, YAY!
According to TMZ.com Norm Macdonald has thrown $25,000 down on Manny Pacquiao to win. The only problem there is Pacquiao is a huge favorite.
He showed the ticket last night on his show Sports Show with Norm Macdonald. He made the bet at the Wynn/Encore hotels on April 29. He showed the stub on the show.
If Macdonald wins the bet he is going to only make $3,125, and if he loses he is out $25,000. That isn't exactly a very good bet in my book.
The odds are -800 on Pacquiao (at least on that ticket) and anyone making a bet on Pacquaio is probably making a safe bet, but they aren't going to be raking in the cash.
I agree that Pacquiao should be a huge favorite and if I had the cash I would probably put some down on Pacquiao.
If Mosley can upset the applecart there is going to be a lot of money lost.
There has been a lot of talk going on about the Manny Pacquaio-Shane Mosley fight itself but not a lot about the undercard.
The undercard as it was first constructed actually looked like the best part of the show, but that fell apart when Humberto Soto pulled out of his rematch against Urbano Antillon.
Now we just have a hodgepodge or semi-interesting fights to down right terrible fights.
We are going to look at the opening fight of the night: Mike Alvarado vs Ray Narh.
I am not going to spend a lot of time on this fight because it does not interest me. This is a quick replacement fight for the aforementioned Soto-Antillon fight.
Alvarado was a semi-prospect before going to jail and not fighting for about a year. Now 30-years-old he needs to make a move now.
Narah is even older at 32, but has faced the better opposition. Last time out he struggled against a very, very, very faded Freddie Norwood.
The hope is that someone gets knocked out or it is a war. I will take Alvarado KO-6.
Here we have a video from Roman Films that is just downright awesome. This is his YouTube bio:
Roman is an award-winning director who is one-third of the comedic trio known as Seven Oh Five (sevenohfive.com) where he's written, directed, produced and starred in over thirty short films. Concurrently, he's a product designer at Mattel Inc., but is heavily concentrating on making his feature film aspirations come to fruition in 2010.
Pacquiao jams out to Eye of The Tiger in the video I linked, and if you enjoyed that there is one of Lil' Manny singing Sometimes When We Touch, which is also comedy gold.
I would love to see the Lil' Manny doll do some Nike commercials like the LeBron James ones. That would be great.
This fight is a big fight and not just in the sense of it involves Manny Pacquiao. This is the first time that Showtime has aired a major fight since the days of Mike Tyson, and they are currently whipping HBO as far as boxing goes.
This is important because Showtime is owned by Viacom, and their network partner is CBS. We know that CBS is interested in combat sports, because they aired the Kimbo Slice MMA experiment.
If this fight goes well and the Fight Camp shows draw good audiences there is a good chance that CBS says "Lets make a deal, and get a boxing show on network television."
Top Rank has a very good stable of fighters, and can offer CBS a much better product then a Kimbo Slice main event.
If nothing else this fight could signify a return to network boxing which would be huge. CBS is in 115 million homes compared to 29 million for HBO, and 19 million for Showtime.
Top Rank executive Todd duBoef really wants to get the sport back on network boxing, and is really going to push it.