Michigan's 92nd ranked pass defense was a freaking embarrassment last week against Illinois. I've been having nightmares of wide open receivers all week.
Donovan Warren is hurting and I wish our safeties all had broken legs so that they might have a better excuse for sucking.
Maybe they get a break this week facing the 89th ranked pass offense in Toledo. Junior quarterback Aaron Opelt is no threat to run like Juice Williams.
Opelt's numbers go like this: 869 yards, 173.8 per game, seven touchdowns, three interceptions and a 59 percent complete rate.
If Brandon Graham can't go this week and Warren is hurting like the coaching staff says he is, the Wolverines might be in trouble if Opelt has all day to find his receivers.
Stephen Williams leads the Rockets with 67.8 yards per game and five touchdowns while senior tight end John Allen is averaging 10.1 yards per catch.
Advantage: Toledo
Toledo Run Offense vs. Michigan Run Defense
Toledo has a couple burners in the backfield with junior DaJuane Collins and redshirt freshman Morgan Williams.
Collins gets 7.4 yards per carry and Williams gets 4.1 and both have rushed for over 300 yards helping Toledo average 142.4 yards per game.
But Michigan before last week was allowing 88 yards a game but after Illinois that average is up to 109.
Toledo doesn't have the talent like Illinois does so I think Michigan will go back to stuffing the run once again.
Terrence Taylor and Will Johnson have been great in the middle and Tim Jamison has been pretty good opposite Graham. I just hope whatever this leg infection Graham has isn't serious.
Advantage: Michigan
Special Teams
I'm going to skip talking about Michigan's special teams units because if I think too much about them (besides the wonderment that is Zoltan Mesko's ability to put footballs on the moon) I might have an blood vessel start leaking into my brain.
Toledo on the other hand has a speedy little guy named Greg Harris who averages 23.2 yards per kick return. Great them.
Their kicker, Stiegerwald is 8-for-9 this year with a long field goal from 47 yards.
Advantage: Toledo
Final Thoughts
If Michigan wants to shut up the doubters and people out there screaming for RichRod's head then they better dominate this game.
I'm talking they better do something they haven't in a long time, cover the spread.
But they won't. They'll get by on no more than a 10-point win and at least for a week Michigan fans will breath a short sigh of relief. That'll be real short considering the Wolverines travel to Happy Valley next week.
Prediction: Michigan 17, Toledo 13
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