Jason Campbell Is Mmm Mmm Good: NFL Observations and Week Six Picks

The Redskins are cruising, and the Rams are terrible.  In the words of Emmitt Smith, "The Rams are 'bout to get blowed out, or debacled, at the hands of Jeremy Campbell and the Washtin' Redskins"

Miami Dolphins (2-2) +3.5 over the HOUSTON TEXANS (0-4)

Is this really the line?  The Texans are favored over the Dolphins coming off of back to back wins versus the Patriots and the Chargers?  Okay. 

Maybe its because they almost beat the Colts last week, or maybe its because of Steve Slaton's impressive numbers as of late, I'm not sure.  Would I be surprised if the Texans won?  No, but the Dolphins have swagger as of late and are getting 3.5 points! Take this one to the bank.

Baltimore Ravens (2-2) +4.5 over INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (2-2)

This is a big game for both teams.  The Ravens are on the road here, and the Colts could very easily be 0-4.  LeRon McClain will be able to pound the ball all day and will score on the goal line.  If the Ravens' defense can execute and force Peyton Manning into some bad throws they should at least be able to cover the spread.

Detroit Lions (0-4) +13.5 over MINNESOTA VIKINGS (2-3)

13.5 is the biggest spread of the week, and I just don't see two teams covering it.  I just don't. 

No real science or analysis here.  I just think that the Detroit Lions will have more of a chance to cover this spread than the Rams do.  The Vikings will win, but not by more than 14.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (2-3) -7.5 over Oakland Raiders (1-3)

The Saints need to stop the run to win this game.  Darren McFadden probably won't play, so New Orleans needs to turn it up and run blitz the hell out of Justin Fargas, who will get the start.  If JaMarcus Russel has to pass the ball to win, it should bode well for the Saints.  They should win by at least ten here at home.

NEW YORK JETS (2-2) -5.5 over Cincinnati Bengals (0-5)

The Bengals will forever be referred to me as the Bungals from here on out.  Jets should coast at home, but should watch out for a possible trap scenario.

DENVER BRONCOS (4-1) -3.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3)

I really like the way the Broncos are playing this year, especially Jay Cutler who is becoming one of my favorite quarterbacks in the league. 

Jacksonville has shown some promise, but they are not the 12-4 team everyone thought they would be this year.  Broncos should win by at least a touchdown.

ARIZONA CARDINALS (3-2) + 5.5 over Dallas Cowboys (4-1) 

The Cardinals have shown a tremendous amount of grit the last two weeks, knocking off the previously undefeated Buffalo Bills and mounting a semi-comeback against the Jets two weeks ago. 

Kurt Warner is partying like its 1999 and even without Anquan Boldin for the foreseeable future, he will play well. 

Cowboys CB Terrance Newman is also out for the game, so look for Warner to take advantage of mismatches.  I like the Cards at home getting the points here.

Philadelphia Eagles (2-3) -5.5 over SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (2-3)

The Eagles simply have to win this game to stay relevant in the NFC East.  They will constantly blitz J.T. O'Sullivan, who could never stay in the pocket last week against the Patriots.  With or without Brian Westbrook, the Eagles should get it done this week.

Green Bay Packers (2-3) +2.5 over SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (1-3)

In a must win game for the Packers, look for Aaron Rodgers to get back to his early season ways.  He is up against a terrible defense that got absolutely mangled by the Giants last week.  Take the Packers and the points.

New England Patriots (3-1) +6.5 over SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (2-3)

Wow.  This is one of those "I can't believe this line" games. 

I understand the Chargers are at home.  I understand Tom Brady is out for the year.  But 6.5 points!  It's like Vegas wants to make me rich this week. 

If the Patriots can execute like they did against San Francisco, they will have no problem making the trip to southern California and beating the Chargers to tears (again).  Yes, I'm biased.   Don't hassle Matt Cassel.

New York Giants (4-0) -7.5 over CLEVELAND BROWNS (1-3)

I don't like this line, and really wish it was 6.5, but Eli and the Giants should beat the Browns, especially with Plaxico Burress coming back.  Take the G-Men!

Good luck everyone and check back next week for Week Seven picks and notes,

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