Crowding the Plate: Draft Results and Analysis (Part 2)
This is a continuation of yesterday’s column with Rounds 11-21 as we head off into the part of the draft where there aren’t many obvious names and the ability to find difference makers become harder.
|1.||Casey McGehee (Mil – 3B)|
|2.||Chad Billingsley (LAD – SP)|
|3.||Huston Street (Col – RP)|
|4.||Clay Buchholz (Bos – SP)|
|5.||Ryan Dempster (ChC – SP)|
|6.||Ángel Pagán (NYM – OF)|
|7.||Rafael Furcal (LAD – SS)|
|8.||Mike Napoli (Tex – C,1B)|
|9.||Bobby Abreu (LAA – OF)|
|10.||Phil Hughes (NYY – SP)|
|11.||Starlin Castro (ChC – SS)|
|12.||Pablo Sandoval (SF – 1B,3B)|
My pick: Clay Buchholz—After a few offensive picks, I select one of my favorite players to jump up a tier for Starting Pitchers this year. With BOS offense, he will really help in Wins.
Best pick: Pablo Sandoval—Great pick this late for a guy who should rebound nicely. Starlin Castro is also a nice find in this round.
Reach: Bobby Abreu—He has been slowly falling off a cliff for years now and I don’t want to be his owner when if finally happens.
|1.||Tim Hudson (Atl – SP)|
|2.||Aubrey Huff (SF – 1B,OF)|
|3.||Joe Nathan (Min – RP)|
|4.||Chris Pérez (Cle – RP)|
|5.||Matt Thornton (CWS – RP)|
|6.||Howie Kendrick (LAA – 1B,2B)|
|7.||Madison Bumgarner (SF – SP)|
|8.||Ricky Nolasco (Fla – SP)|
|9.||Josh Beckett (Bos – SP)|
|10.||Ian Stewart (Col – 3B)|
|11.||Nick Markakis (Bal – OF)|
|12.||Colby Lewis (Tex – SP)|
My pick: Josh Beckett—In hindsight, my least favorite pick of the draft and the most likely for me to regret. There were still quality SP on the board but I have to believe Beckett can turn it around. Dear Red Sox, please stop leaving him in to throw batting practice to the Yankees.
Best pick: Matt Thornton/Chris Perez—A pair of high-upside relievers in this round that can return the same results as those five rounds earlier.
Reach: Ian Stewart—Always looks good on paper after draft day, always finds himself on waiver wires during the season. With Ty Wiggington around, he can’t afford to slump.
|1.||Neil Walker (Pit – 2B,3B)|
|2.||Chone Figgins (Sea – 2B)|
|3.||José Valverde (Det – RP)|
|4.||John Danks (CWS – SP)|
|5.||Jeremy Hellickson (TB – SP,RP)|
|6.||Matt Garza (ChC – SP)|
|7.||Ryan Franklin (StL – RP)|
|8.||Hiroki Kuroda (LAD – SP)|
|9.||Vernon Wells (LAA – OF)|
|10.||Ted Lilly (LAD – SP)|
|11.||Carlos Zambrano (ChC – SP,RP)|
|12.||Andrew Bailey (Oak – RP)|
My pick: John Danks—I continued my SP binge with the reliable Danks who has gotten better each season and should be on a fantastic team.
Best pick: Jeremy Hellickson—I almost took him and was actually hoping he would fall to me in the next round. Already the Rays No. 2 pitcher. Valverde and Lilly were smart adds here.
Reach: Matt Garza—The uncertainty of his new park combined with his usual fly-ball rate makes him shaky compared to the pitchers taken in this round.
|1.||Brian Matusz (Bal – SP)|
|2.||Trevor Cahill (Oak – SP)|
|3.||John Axford (Mil – RP)|
|4.||Brett Myers (Hou – SP)|
|5.||Jaime García (StL – SP)|
|6.||Ervin Santana (LAA – SP)|
|7.||Francisco Cordero (Cin – RP)|
|8.||Brad Lidge (Phi – RP)|
|9.||Leo Núñez (Fla – RP)|
|10.||Michael Bourn (Hou – OF)|
|11.||Craig Kimbrel (Atl – RP)|
|12.||Alfonso Soriano (ChC – OF)|
My pick: Leo Nunez—Better late than never to fill out some relievers. Nunez will either save a lot of close Florida games or will lose his job quickly.
Best pick: Michael Bourn—Many rounds after Juan Pierre and roughly the same player. Should contend for the NL lead in steals. Also love the SP selections of Matusz and Cahill.
Reach: Brad Lidge—Already injured and is typically a head case anyway. The Philadelphia closer will always generate much fantasy interest though. Kimbrel also gets consideration here because there were still team’s closers on the board and he is fighting for a timeshare.
|1.||Drew Storen (Was – RP)|
|2.||Jhoulys Chacin (Col – SP,RP)|
|3.||John Lackey (Bos – SP)|
|4.||Edwin Jackson (CWS – SP)|
|5.||Brandon Lyon (Hou – RP)|
|6.||Fernando Rodney (LAA – RP)|
|7.||Edinson Vólquez (Cin – SP)|
|8.||Frank Francisco (Tor – RP)|
|9.||David Ortiz (Bos – Util)|
|10.||C.J. Wilson (Tex – SP)|
|11.||Gavin Floyd (CWS – SP)|
|12.||Joel Hanrahan (Pit – RP)|
My pick: Edwin Jackson—I have targeted him in every draft and thanks to his past of burning owners, I usually get him. He was dynamite after joining the White Sox last year after the All-Star break and I see no reason he can’t build upon that momentum.
Best pick: John Lackey—Much like Beckett, I have to think he can provide bounce-back value in Round 15. He pitched much better towards the end of the season as well. I also like Joel Hanrahan.
Reach: David Ortiz—I know it’s Round 15 but I wouldn’t take Ortiz til the 20th. I believe in his lineup, not in his skills anymore.
|1.||Jordan Zimmermann (Was – SP)|
|2.||Gordon Beckham (CWS – 2B)|
|3.||Jair Jurrjens (Atl – SP)|
|4.||Carl Pavano (Min – SP)|
|5.||Adam Jones (Bal – OF)|
|6.||A.J. Burnett (NYY – SP)|
|7.||James Shields (TB – SP)|
|8.||Jorge De La Rosa (Col – SP)|
|9.||Jonny Venters (Atl – RP)|
|10.||Ian Kennedy (Ari – SP)|
|11.||Miguel Montero (Ari – C)|
|12.||Anibal Sánchez (Fla – SP)|
My pick: Johnny Venters—Needing to add help to my closers, I chose Venters. I watch a lot of Braves baseball, and he has the arm to work everyday. I don’t believe Kimbrel should be working the ninth yet with his ratios. If nothing else, Venters will get me solid percentages with his high use rate.
Best pick: Jordan Zimmerman—I like several in this round (Montero, Sanchez, Shields, Jones) but Zimmerman has the chance to put up solid stats with above average strikeouts in the 16th round. Word is that he will be on an innings limit though but we’ll worry about that in August.
Reach: Ian Kennedy—It seems like he alternates between three earned runs and six earned runs every start. I’d rather not deal with him ruining my ratios in the hitter’s park of Arizona.
|1.||Clayton Richard (SD – SP)|
|2.||Grady Sizemore (Cle – OF)|
|3.||Kurt Suzuki (Oak – C)|
|4.||Brandon League (Sea – RP)|
|5.||Rajai Davis (Tor – OF)|
|6.||Kevin Gregg (Bal – RP)|
|7.||Manny Ramírez (TB – OF)|
|8.||David Aardsma (Sea – RP)|
|9.||Jake Peavy (CWS – SP)|
|10.||Javier Vázquez (Fla – SP,RP)|
|11.||Jake McGee (TB – RP)|
|12.||Jorge Posada (NYY – C)|
My pick: Brandon League—Obviously scraping the bottom of the barrel for closers at this point, I choose a guy whom I’ve been targeting in League. He is the fill-in closer to start the year for Seattle, but I’ve followed Aardsma before, there is nothing in his game that suggests he should be the default closer. I’m hoping League takes the job and runs with it.
Best pick: Jorge Posada—The fact that he went in this round makes me slightly regret taking a C with my fourth pick. As the primary DH, he should put up top eight catcher stats. I also considered Rajai Davis (super steals!) and Manny Ramirez.
Reach: Javier Vazquez/Jake Peavy—I lump these two together because they used to be great but I think they will be more trouble to own this year than they are worth. I would leave them to another owner.
|1.||Brian Duensing (Min – SP,RP)|
|2.||Denard Span (Min – OF)|
|3.||Johnny Cueto (Cin – SP)|
|4.||Joel Piñeiro (LAA – SP)|
|5.||Alexi Ogando (Tex – RP)|
|6.||Tim Stauffer (SD – SP,RP)|
|7.||Ian Desmond (Was – SS)|
|8.||James McDonald (Pit – SP)|
|9.||Jason Bay (NYM – OF)|
|10.||Bronson Arroyo (Cin – SP)|
|11.||Jose Tabata (Pit – OF)|
|12.||Rafael Soriano (NYY – RP)|
My pick: Jason Bay—I auto-drafted from this point til the end of the draft but I did need OF and I put a lot in my queue before leaving. I have invested in Bay in a couple of my leagues, because I think he is better than his numbers showed last year and I’m buying potentially a 25 HR/90 RBI guy on the cheap.
Best pick: Tim Stauffer—Anyone in San Diego is worth a look but Stauffer should be a real asset this season. I’m also high on Jose Tabata.
Reach: Denard Span—I actually like most of this round but Span offers decent speed and little else. I’d rather not waste a spot on him.
|1.||J.A. Happ (Hou – SP)|
|2.||Johan Santana (NYM – SP)|
|3.||Wade Davis (TB – SP)|
|4.||Torii Hunter (LAA – OF)|
|5.||Homer Bailey (Cin – SP)|
|6.||Iván Nova (NYY – SP)|
|7.||Jonathon Niese (NYM – SP)|
|8.||Jon Rauch (Tor – RP)|
|9.||Carlos Lee (Hou – 1B,OF)|
|10.||Joe Blanton (Phi – SP)|
|11.||Austin Jackson (Det – OF)|
|12.||R.A. Dickey (NYM – SP)|
My pick: Torii Hunter—The next off my OF list. I have him projected around 20 HR and 85-90 RBI; he hopefully can benefit from the arrival of Vernon Wells. I will no doubt be looking on the waiver wire for OF though once the season starts.
Best pick: Jonathon Niese—If I have to own a Mets starter, I’ll take Niese, who has above average strikeout potential.
Reach: Joe Blanton—Playing for the Phillies means he is likely to be a contributor in one category, wins.
|1.||Brian Roberts (Bal – 2B)|
|2.||Aroldis Chapman (Cin – RP)|
|3.||Brandon Webb (Tex – SP)|
|4.||Chipper Jones (Atl – 3B)|
|5.||Erik Bedard (Sea – SP)|
|6.||Stephen Strasburg (Was – SP)|
|7.||Derek Holland (Tex – SP)|
|8.||Reid Brignac (TB – 2B,SS)|
|9.||Luke Scott (Bal – 1B,OF)|
|10.||Jon Garland (LAD – SP)|
|11.||Gaby Sánchez (Fla – 1B)|
|12.||Hong-Chih Kuo (LAD – RP)|
My pick: Luke Scott—Obviously the OF I had in my queue were still there at this pick. I actually like Scott for the power but since this draft he has been dropped for Jose Contreras. Contreras will help my relievers since he is projected to be the closer for Philadelphia at least the first three weeks.
Best pick: Erik Bedard—Nothing wrong with taking a chance on this guy in the twentieth round. When healthy, he can be a real difference maker. Chipper Jones—exactly what I said about Jones. Brian Roberts—The fact that I could have picked up Roberts this late has me regretting the Pedroia pick. I like Roberts this year to be very useful at second.
Reach: Brandon Webb—Unlike Bedard above, I think it’s time to officially give up the Webb dream of fantasy relevance.
|1.||Scott Baker (Min – SP)|
|2.||Dallas Braden (Oak – SP)|
|3.||Derek Lowe (Atl – SP)|
|4.||Magglio Ordóñez (Det – OF)|
|5.||Travis Wood (Cin – SP)|
|6.||Kyle Farnsworth (TB – RP)|
|7.||Aaron Harang (SD – SP)|
|8.||Ike Davis (NYM – 1B)|
|9.||Yadier Molina (StL – C)|
|10.||Russell Martin (NYY – C)|
|11.||Chris Sale (CWS – RP)|
|12.||Evan Meek (Pit – RP)|
My pick: Magglio Ordonez—Has since been dropped for Micheal Pinieda who I’m looking to see if he can get off to a good start for Seattle.
Best pick: Ike Davis—Nice value of power with Davis in the last round. I think he will be a solid UTIL in this league.
Reach: Yadier Molina—This is why you don’t want to wait til the last round for your catcher.
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